Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Monday, June 29, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick
- Brandon Lowe (+285): Mashing RHPs and facing a righty who is struggling versus left-handed hitters
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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?
MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.
Best Home Run Bet Today, Daily Dinger
Brandon Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+285)
Pirates at Phillies, 6:41 p.m. ET
Brandon Lowe is my favorite home run pick for Monday.
Lowe is in his preferred split and gets a sizable park-factor bump in Philly as Citizens Bank Park checks in fifth in HR factor across the previous three seasons, per Statcast.
The owner of 20 homers this season, Lowe has hit 16 of those against RHPs while racking up a .394 wOBA in the split. Today, he'll see Aaron Nola, a veteran right-hander who is giving up a .391 wOBA and 2.28 homers per nine to lefty hitters this season.
In a homer-friendly park and in a nice matchup, Lowe can leave the yard today.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?
A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).
What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?
FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.
Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?
Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.
What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?
Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.
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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.



