Baylor vs TCU Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 19

The Baylor Bears (11-5, 3-2 Big 12) will host the TCU Horned Frogs (9-7, 2-3 Big 12) after winning nine straight home games.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Baylor vs. TCU Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, January 19, 2025
- Game time: 5:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Waco, Texas
- Arena: Foster Pavilion
Baylor vs. TCU Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Baylor win (85.5%)
To help you make an informed wager on Baylor-TCU matchup (in which Baylor is a 12.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 137.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Sunday's game.
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Baylor vs. TCU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Baylor has compiled a 7-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
- TCU is 5-11-0 ATS this year.
- Baylor covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point favorite or more 60% of the time. That's more often than TCU covers as an underdog of 12.5 or more (50%).
- Against the spread, the Bears have performed better when playing at home, covering five times in seven home games, and one time in four road games.
- Last year, the Horned Frogs were 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). On the road, they were 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
- Baylor has covered the spread three times in five conference games.
- TCU has won twice against the spread in Big 12 play this season.
Baylor vs. TCU: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Baylor has been listed as the moneyline favorite nine times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
- The Bears have been a -901 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
- TCU has been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. TCU has finished 1-4 in those games.
- The Horned Frogs have played as a moneyline underdog of +590 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Baylor has a 90% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Baylor vs. TCU Head-to-Head Comparison
- Baylor outscores opponents by 13.2 points per game (scoring 81.4 per game to rank 43rd in college basketball while giving up 68.2 per outing to rank 90th in college basketball) and has a +211 scoring differential overall.
- Norchad Omier's team-leading 15.5 points per game ranks 207th in the nation.
- TCU puts up 70.2 points per game (283rd in college basketball) while giving up 66.2 per outing (51st in college basketball). It has a +64 scoring differential and outscores opponents by four points per game.
- Noah Reynolds leads TCU, recording 12.5 points per game (573rd in college basketball).
- The 35.4 rebounds per game the Bears average rank 51st in the nation, and are six more than the 29.4 their opponents pull down per outing.
- Omier averages 10.2 rebounds per game (ranking 12th in college basketball) to lead the Bears.
- The Horned Frogs average 31.7 rebounds per game (235th in college basketball), compared to the 31.3 of their opponents.
- Ernest Udeh Jr.'s 7.9 rebounds per game lead the Horned Frogs and rank 79th in the nation.
- Baylor's 102.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 50th in college basketball, and the 85.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 47th in college basketball.
- The Horned Frogs' 92.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 274th in college basketball, and the 86.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 68th in college basketball.
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