NCAAB
Baylor vs Kansas State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 7 seed Baylor Bears (18-13, 10-10 Big 12) and the No. 10 seed Kansas State Wildcats (16-16, 9-11 Big 12) will look to advance in the Big 12 tournament on Wednesday as they meet at 7 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Baylor vs. Kansas State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Arena: T-Mobile Center
Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Wednesday's Baylor-Kansas State spread (Baylor -5.5) or over/under (138.5 points).
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Baylor vs. Kansas State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Baylor is 11-19-0 ATS this season.
- Kansas State has covered 17 times in 32 games with a spread this year.
- Kansas State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point underdog or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than Baylor covers as a favorite of 5.5 or more (46.2%).
- The Bears have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered two times in 11 opportunities in road games.
- Against the spread, the Wildcats have had better results on the road (7-5-0) than at home (8-7-0).
- Baylor has seven wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
- Kansas State has covered the spread 14 times in 21 Big 12 games.
Baylor vs. Kansas State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Baylor has won in 16, or 84.2%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- The Bears have a mark of 9-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -240 or better on the moneyline.
- Kansas State has won six of the 17 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (35.3%).
- The Wildcats have a 2-7 record (winning only 22.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer.
- Baylor has an implied victory probability of 70.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Baylor vs. Kansas State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Baylor has a +229 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.3 points per game. It is putting up 76.7 points per game to rank 99th in college basketball and is allowing 69.4 per contest to rank 95th in college basketball.
- Norchad Omier is 217th in the nation with a team-leading 15.6 points per game.
- Kansas State outscores opponents by 1.7 points per game (posting 71.3 points per game, 252nd in college basketball, and giving up 69.6 per outing, 99th in college basketball) and has a +54 scoring differential.
- David N'Guessan's 13.1 points per game paces Kansas State and ranks 511th in the nation.
- The Bears win the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. They collect 32.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 124th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.8 per contest.
- Omier averages 10.7 rebounds per game (ranking sixth in college basketball) to lead the Bears.
- The 30.3 rebounds per game the Wildcats accumulate rank 285th in the country, 2.3 fewer than the 32.6 their opponents collect.
- N'Guessan averages 7.1 rebounds per game (157th in college basketball) to lead the Wildcats.
- Baylor averages 99.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (88th in college basketball), and allows 89.9 points per 100 possessions (88th in college basketball).
- The Wildcats average 92.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (267th in college basketball), and concede 90.3 points per 100 possessions (98th in college basketball).
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