Auburn vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

The No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (31-5) and No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (30-6) will both try to secure a place in the NCAA Tournament Final Four when they meet on Sunday at State Farm Arena. The matchup begins at 5:05 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 30, 2025
• Game time: 5:05 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Arena: State Farm Arena

Auburn vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Auburn win (57%)

Auburn is a 5.5-point favorite over Michigan State on Sunday and the total has been set at 146.5 points. Below are some betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the matchup.

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Auburn vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Auburn is 20-16-0 ATS this season.
• Michigan State has covered 24 times in 36 chances against the spread this year.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Auburn covers as a favorite of 5.5 or more (58.6%).
• The Tigers own a better record against the spread when playing at home (8-7-0) than they do in road games (5-5-0).
• The Spartans' winning percentage against the spread at home is .625 (10-6-0). On the road, it is .778 (7-2-0).

Auburn vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Auburn has been victorious in 27, or 87.1%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Tigers have a mark of 23-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -250 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has won five of the seven games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (71.4%).
• The Spartans have played as a moneyline underdog of +205 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• Auburn has an implied victory probability of 71.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Auburn vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Auburn is outscoring opponents by 14.3 points per game with a +515 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.6 points per game (10th in college basketball) and allows 69.3 per contest (88th in college basketball).
• Johni Broome's 18.5 points per game lead Auburn and are 60th in the nation.
• Michigan State is outscoring opponents by 11 points per game, with a +396 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.1 points per game (73rd in college basketball) and allows 67.1 per outing (44th in college basketball).
• Jaden Akins is ranked 575th in the nation with a team-leading 12.7 points per game.
• The Tigers win the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. They collect 34.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 50th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.2 per contest.
• Broome's 10.8 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank seventh in college basketball action.
• The 36.7 rebounds per game the Spartans accumulate rank 10th in the country, 8.7 more than the 28 their opponents record.
• Jaxon Kohler averages 7.4 rebounds per game (118th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• Auburn averages 106.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (sixth in college basketball), and gives up 88.3 points per 100 possessions (56th in college basketball).
• The Spartans' 100.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 68th in college basketball, and the 86.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 22nd in college basketball.

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