Auburn vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

The Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) will look to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) on March 1, 2025 at Rupp Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ABC
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

Auburn vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Auburn win (58.4%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Auburn-Kentucky spread (Auburn -5.5) or over/under (167.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Auburn has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Kentucky has put together a 14-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Auburn covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point favorite or more 60.9% of the time. That's less often than Kentucky covers as an underdog of 5.5 or more (80%).
• When playing at home, the Tigers sport a better record against the spread (8-6-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (4-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Wildcats have a better winning percentage at home (.562, 9-7-0 record) than on the road (.333, 3-6-0).
• Auburn has seven wins against the spread in 15 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in SEC games, Kentucky is 8-7-0 this year.

Auburn vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Auburn has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (95.7%) in those contests.
• This year, the Tigers have won 20 of 21 games when listed as at least -210 or better on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has won five of the eight games it was the moneyline underdog this season (62.5%).
• The Wildcats have gone 4-2 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer (66.7%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Auburn has a 67.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Auburn vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• Auburn averages 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 68.4 per outing (76th in college basketball). It has a +467 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 16.7 points per game.
• Johni Broome's team-leading 18.8 points per game ranks 46th in the nation.
• Kentucky is outscoring opponents by nine points per game, with a +250 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 76.6 per contest (310th in college basketball).
• Otega Oweh is 177th in the country with a team-leading 16.1 points per game.
• The Tigers win the rebound battle by 6.8 boards on average. They collect 35.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 30th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 28.6 per contest.
• Broome leads the Tigers with 11 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball play).
• The Wildcats rank 52nd in the country at 34.8 rebounds per game. That's 2.7 more than the 32.1 their opponents average.
• Amari Williams averages 8.6 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball) to lead the Wildcats.
• Auburn's 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in college basketball, and the 87.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.
• The Wildcats' 105.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 94.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 228th in college basketball.

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