Auburn vs Alabama State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The top-seeded Auburn Tigers (28-5) play the No. 16 Alabama State Hornets (20-15) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, tipping off at 2:50 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Alabama State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 2:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

Auburn vs. Alabama State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Auburn win (97.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Auburn (-31.5) versus Alabama State on Thursday. The total has been set at 149.5 points for this game.

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Auburn vs. Alabama State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Auburn has covered 18 times in 33 matchups with a spread this season.
• Alabama State has put together a 14-19-0 record against the spread this year.
• Against the spread, the Tigers have performed better when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• The Hornets have been better against the spread away (7-8-0) than at home (4-6-0) this year.

Auburn vs. Alabama State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Auburn has been the moneyline favorite in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 24 times (85.7%) in those contests.
• The Tigers have yet to play a game this season with better moneyline odds than -100000.
• Alabama State has won four of the 13 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (30.8%).
• The Hornets have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +7000 or longer.
• Auburn has an implied victory probability of 99.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Auburn vs. Alabama State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Auburn has a +470 scoring differential, topping opponents by 14.2 points per game. It is putting up 83.8 points per game to rank 10th in college basketball and is allowing 69.6 per outing to rank 98th in college basketball.
• Johni Broome is 47th in college basketball with a team-high 18.9 points per game.
• Alabama State outscores opponents by 1.2 points per game (posting 73.3 points per game, 195th in college basketball, and giving up 72.1 per outing, 186th in college basketball) and has a +43 scoring differential.
• Amarr Knox is ranked 337th in the nation with a team-leading 14.4 points per game.
• The Tigers come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. They are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game (63rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.3 per outing.
• Broome averages 10.6 rebounds per game (ranking eighth in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
• The Hornets lose the rebound battle by an average of 3.2 boards. They are pulling down 32.3 rebounds per game (160th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 35.5.
• Antonio Madlock paces the team with 7.2 rebounds per game (139th in college basketball).
• Auburn ranks sixth in college basketball with 107.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 67th in college basketball defensively with 89 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Hornets put up 93.3 points per 100 possessions (250th in college basketball), while allowing 91.7 points per 100 possessions (133rd in college basketball).

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