Auburn vs Alabama State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The top-seeded Auburn Tigers (28-5) and the No. 16 Alabama State Hornets (20-15) meet on Thursday for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The first-round matchup starts at 2:50 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Alabama State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Game time: 2:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

Auburn vs. Alabama State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Auburn win (97.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Auburn (-31.5) versus Alabama State on Thursday. The total is set at 149.5 points for this game.

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Auburn vs. Alabama State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Auburn is 18-15-0 ATS this season.
• Alabama State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 19 times.
• The Tigers sport a better record against the spread at home (8-7-0) than they do on the road (5-5-0).
• This year, the Hornets are 4-6-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-8-0 ATS (.467).

Auburn vs. Alabama State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Auburn has been victorious in 24, or 85.7%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This is the best odds of a victory sportsbooks have given the Tigers this season with a -100000 moneyline set for this game.
• Alabama State has won 30.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-9).
• The Hornets have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +7000 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Auburn has a 99.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Auburn vs. Alabama State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Auburn outscores opponents by 14.2 points per game (scoring 83.8 per game to rank 10th in college basketball while allowing 69.6 per outing to rank 98th in college basketball) and has a +470 scoring differential overall.
• Auburn's leading scorer, Johni Broome, is 47th in college basketball putting up 18.9 points per game.
• Alabama State has a +43 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. It is putting up 73.3 points per game, 195th in college basketball, and is giving up 72.1 per contest to rank 186th in college basketball.
• Alabama State's leading scorer, Amarr Knox, ranks 337th in college basketball, putting up 14.4 points per game.
• The Tigers come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. They are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game (63rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.3 per outing.
• Broome averages 10.6 rebounds per game (ranking eighth in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
• The 32.3 rebounds per game the Hornets accumulate rank 160th in the nation, 3.2 fewer than the 35.5 their opponents record.
• Antonio Madlock paces the Hornets with 7.2 rebounds per game (139th in college basketball).
• Auburn's 107.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in college basketball, and the 89 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 67th in college basketball.
• The Hornets average 93.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (250th in college basketball), and concede 91.7 points per 100 possessions (133rd in college basketball).

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