Alabama vs Saint Mary's (CA) Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (26-8) aim to advance to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 7 seed Saint Mary's Gaels (29-5) on Sunday at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 23, 2025
• Game time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (53%)

Alabama is a 5.5-point favorite over Saint Mary's (CA) on Sunday and the over/under has been set at 149.5 points. Keep reading for some betting trends and insights before you decide to wager on the contest.

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Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama is 19-15-0 ATS this season.
• Saint Mary's (CA) is 14-19-0 ATS this year.
• Alabama (11-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 5.5 points or more this season (52.4%) than Saint Mary's (CA) (1-0) does as a 5.5+-point underdog (100%).
• Against the spread, the Crimson Tide have played worse when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and eight times in 12 road games.
• The Gaels' winning percentage against the spread at home is .375 (6-10-0). On the road, it is .700 (7-3-0).

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama has been the moneyline favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (80.8%) in those contests.
• This season, the Crimson Tide have come away with a win 18 times in 20 chances when named as a favorite of at least -230 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has gone 3-1 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 75% of those games).
• The Gaels have played as a moneyline underdog of +188 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama has a 69.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Alabama is outscoring opponents by 9.7 points per game with a +329 scoring differential overall. It puts up 91.1 points per game (first in college basketball) and allows 81.4 per contest (356th in college basketball).
• Mark Sears' 18.8 points per game lead Alabama and are 49th in the nation.
• Saint Mary's (CA) is outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game, with a +427 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.1 points per game (198th in college basketball) and gives up 60.5 per contest (fourth in college basketball).
• Augustas Marciulionis paces Saint Mary's (CA), recording 14.2 points per game (354th in college basketball).
• The 39.2 rebounds per game the Crimson Tide average rank second in the nation, and are 6.2 more than the 33 their opponents record per contest.
• Grant Nelson tops the team with 7.5 rebounds per game (104th in college basketball action).
• The Gaels grab 36.6 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) while conceding 25.8 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 10.8 boards per game.
• Mitchell Saxen averages eight rebounds per game (61st in college basketball) to lead the Gaels.
• Alabama averages 104.6 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball), while allowing 93.5 points per 100 possessions (179th in college basketball).
• The Gaels rank 83rd in college basketball with 99.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and fifth defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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