Alabama State vs Grambling Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SWAC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Grambling Tigers (12-21, 7-11 SWAC) will square off in the SWAC tournament against the No. 5 seed Alabama State Hornets (17-15, 12-6 SWAC) on Friday at Gateway Center Arena, tipping off at 2 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama State vs. Grambling Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 2 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: College Park, Georgia
• Arena: Gateway Center Arena

Alabama State vs. Grambling Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama State win (60.7%)

Before making a bet on Friday's Alabama State-Grambling spread (Alabama State -2.5) or total (127.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Alabama State vs. Grambling: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama State is 13-17-0 ATS this season.
• Grambling has covered 13 times in 30 matchups with a spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Alabama State (5-11) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (31.2%) than Grambling (9-6) does as the underdog (60%).
• The Hornets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered four times in 10 games when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 games on the road.
• The Tigers have been better against the spread away (8-8-0) than at home (2-8-0) this year.
• Alabama State's record against the spread in conference games is 8-11-0.
• Grambling has beaten the spread seven times in 20 SWAC games.

Alabama State vs. Grambling: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama State has won in 12, or 70.6%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Hornets have a win-loss record of 9-5 when favored by -142 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Grambling has been the moneyline underdog 15 total times this season. Grambling has gone 2-13 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer, the Tigers have gone 2-12 (14.3%).
• Alabama State has an implied victory probability of 58.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Alabama State vs. Grambling Head-to-Head Comparison

• Alabama State averages 74.2 points per game (165th in college basketball) while allowing 73.1 per contest (215th in college basketball). It has a +35 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.1 points per game.
• Amarr Knox's 14.8 points per game lead Alabama State and are 284th in the country.
• Grambling puts up 66.9 points per game (334th in college basketball) while giving up 67.8 per contest (58th in college basketball). It has a -28 scoring differential.
• Kintavious Dozier's 12.1 points per game paces Grambling and ranks 672nd in the nation.
• The 32.2 rebounds per game the Hornets average rank 166th in the nation, and are 3.5 fewer than the 35.7 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Antonio Madlock averages 6.9 rebounds per game (ranking 181st in college basketball) to lead the Hornets.
• The Tigers lose the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are recording 31 rebounds per game (238th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.2.
• P.J. Eason's 5.9 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 341st in the nation.
• Alabama State ranks 233rd in college basketball with 93.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 152nd in college basketball defensively with 92.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Tigers rank 324th in college basketball with 89.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 97th defensively with 90.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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