3M Open: Best Bets, Course Info, and Key Stats

Brandon Gdula•@gdula13

2mo

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3M Open: Best Bets, Course Info, and Key Stats

The men's major schedule is now at an end after last week's Open Championship.

This week, the PGA Tour returns to the United States for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

How can you bet this week's event?

Here's all you need to know.

All golf odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

TPC Twin Cities Course Info

Data from GCSAA, PGA Tour, and data golf's course table unless otherwise noted.

Par: 71
Distance: 7,431 yards (long)
Average Fairway Width: 35.4 yards (average/wide)
Average Green Size: 6,500 square feet (average/large)
Green Type: Bentgrass
Stimpmeter: 12.5
Recent Winning Scores: -24, -17, -15, -19, -21
Recent Cut Lines: -4, +1, -2, E, -3

TPC Twin Cities Course Key Stats

There have been five 3M Opens at TPC Twin Cities, and in those, the winning scores have been -21, -19, -15, -17, and -24. The winner list is Matthew Wolff, Michael Thompson, Cameron Champ, Tony Finau, and Lee Hodges.

Statistically speaking, this course has easy-to-putt bentgrass greens that are a bit larger than the PGA Tour average. These are some of the easiest greens to make long bombs on.

The fairways are a bit wider than usual, too.

In total, shorter hitters can contend, even with some long hitters comprising the winners list.

This puts a lot of golfers in play, and it makes for a volatile week on Tour in terms of predicting the winner.

As far as the individual winners, Hodges, Finau, and Wolff led in SG:T2G.

Champ and Thompson led in SG:Putting.

All five winners were top-20 in ball-striking. The best putter of the best ball-strikers will win.

3M Open Betting Picks

These picks stand out relative to their FanDuel Sportsbook golf betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats cited below originate at datagolf and reference ranks relative to the field over the past 50 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Akshay Bhatia

3M Open Win Odds (+2000)
To Finish Top 10 Including Ties (+210)

With a bit of an open field and a lack of studs with short odds, it's the type of week where we can consider an extra name or two at longer odds than we normally would at a major or signature event.

Bhatia at 20/1 starting a card is indicative of that.

Akshay did miss the cut at The Open but lost just -0.05 total strokes gained: per round.

Prior to that, he was T22 at Memorial, T16 at the U.S. Open, T5 at the Travelers Championship, and T2 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Though Bhatia hasn't played TPC Twin Cities in the past, it's not the type of course that requires a lot of prior knowledge, and with only five years in the rotation, not many golfers have extensive knowledge anyway.

Tom Hoge

To Win (+3300)
To Finish Top 10 Including Ties (+290)
To Finish Top 20 (+135)

Hoge is really interesting this week as the field leader in strokes gained: approach over the last 50 rounds. He's the only golfer gaining more than a stroke per round from approach play (1.04) in the field, and only Tony Finau (0.89) is gaining more than 0.67. That's a cavernous gap in his favor.

Hoge also can make long putts and is a 58th-percentile putter from within 15 feet on Tour this season.

He has the makings of an eventual 3M Open champ.

He's finished T23, T46, MC, T4, and T20 at this course in the past, making him one of 17 golfers in the field to have all five starts at TPC Twin Cities. He is one of seven to make at least four cuts.

Keegan Bradley

To Win (+3300)
To Finish Top 10 (+280)
To Finish Top 20 (+130)

Bradley missed the cut at The Open, but that's probably not the worst thing for traveling back and gearing up for the 3M Open.

Bradley has made both cuts at TPC Twin Cities in his career (T46 in 2019 and T39 in 2021).

Over the last 50 rounds, Bradley ranks 5th in strokes gained: approach and 11th in strokes gained: tee to green.

While he is putting better than he should based on his distance-based make splits, this course doesn't put too much pressure on the putter.

Adam Hadwin

To Win (+4500)
To Finish Top 10 (+360)
To Finish Top 20 (+160)

Another golfer coming off of a missed cut at The Open? Sure thing.

He was good enough to qualify for the major but just putted really poorly.

Hadwin is much better suited for TPC Twin Cities, per a 4th, T6, T38, and MC here in four starts.

He ranks top-50 in all four strokes gained stats over the last 50 rounds. He's one of four golfers in the field who can say that (along with Bhatia, Sam Burns, and -- surprisingly -- Andrew Novak).

Austin Eckroat

To Win (+5500)
To Finish Top 20 Including Ties (+220)

If we're looking for the best ball-strikers in the field, Eckroat deserves a look. Over the last 50 rounds, he's 7th in strokes gained: approach and 10th in strokes gained: off the tee. Ultimately, he ranks fourth in strokes gained: ball-striking.

The putting isn't particularly great (107th in strokes gained: putting and just a 16th-percentile putter from within 15 feet on Tour this season).

With that said, though, his overall form puts him in career-best territory by roughly half a shot per round.

Doug Ghim

To Win (+7000)
To Finish Top 20 Including Ties (+210)

Ghim has the makings of a golfer who could lead the field in strokes gained: tee to green (he's 8th in the field in that stat) and putt well enough to go out and win this event.

The putting part will be trickier as Ghim is 93rd in the field in putting the last 50 rounds and is a 28th-percentile putter from within 15 feet on Tour this season.

With that in mind, he has finished T18, MC, T16, and T27 in four starts here.

A win may be ambitious, so keeping him in mind as a finisher makes a lot of sense.

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Looking for more golf betting opportunities? Check out all the golf odds and markets at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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