3 Strikeout Prop Bets to Target for Wednesday 5/1/24

Riley Thomas•_riley8

16d

The lengthy MLB season offers a wide array of bets via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Strikeout props are among the popular lines offered. These bets can focus on the over/under of a starting pitcher's strikeout total or alternate lines can be utilized for more intriguing odds.

In this piece, we will dive into the stats to back our favorite strikeout props of the day across the MLB's slate. Which pitchers taking the mound could rack up Ks or which may stumble? We have plenty of tools available that can help us zero in on the top picks, and we'll use stats from numberFire's daily fantasy baseball projections, Baseball Savant, and FanGraphs.

Here are some of the most enticing strikeout props at FanDuel Sportsbook for today's games.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Strikeout Props

Roddery Munoz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-112)

The Miami Marlins have called up a starter from the minors for Wednesday's game against the Colorado Rockies. Roddery Munoz will make the second start of his career in the majors.

On April 20th, Munoz flourished with seven strikeouts while allowing two runs in five innings of work. However, that showing feels like a one off. I can't ignore his obvious struggles in Triple-A.

Over four appearances in the minors, Munoz has a 8.62 ERA and 1.787 WHIP. Focusing on his K numbers, Munoz has totaled only nine strikeouts in the minors this season.

The rookie right-hander currently has a 38.9% strikeout rate (K%) in the MLB. This is simply not sustainable, especially when you consider his numbers in Triple-A.

I'm banking on Munoz's poor numbers in the minors. He's averaging about 0.6 strikeouts per inning in Triple-A and threw only 77 pitches in his sole start in the majors. I'm not expecting a deep start or high strikeout total for Munoz tonight.

Jose Butto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-106)

The 2023 season was Jose Butto's first real chance to get his feet wet in the MLB. He made nine appearances and seven starts with a 5.11 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) and 21.2 K%.

Through four starts in 2024, Butto has dramatically improved his play. He now holds a 4.08 SIERA and a 27.8 K% (76th percentile). The Chicago Cubs are the next team on the chopping block for the New York Mets' starter.

Butto has reached six strikeouts in three of four starts. While the Cubs have a dangerous lineup, one that totals the seventh-most runs per game, Chicago's batting order can be susceptible to Ks.

Chicago is tied for the 14th-highest K% and averages the 14th-most strikeouts per game. They also have the eighth-highest swinging-strike percentage. Meanwhile, Butto sits in the 89th percentile of whiff rate. Not only are the Cubs vulnerable to strikeouts, but they also regularly swing and miss, playing into Butto's elite whiff percentage.

Butto has reached 90 pitches in all starts this season. New York is not afraid to give him a large workload, providing even more comfort for the over.

Kutter Crawford Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-110)

The San Francisco Giants' batting order is coming off a 10-strikeout showing, and the Boston Red Sox's Kutter Crawford could leap on the opportunity.

Crawford is in the 64th percentile of K% and 80th percentile of chase rate. He's surpassed five strikeouts in four of six appearances. Boston's hurler has also pitched into the sixth inning in three consecutive outings.

Of course, the longer Crawford pitches, the better the chance for more Ks. San Francisco has the ninth-highest hard-hit percentage, but Crawford does an excellent job of limiting hard contact (95th percentile in hard-hit percentage). He hasn't allowed a home run this season.

I'm not too worried about the Giants' ability to get extra-base hits. They have the 11th-highest ground-ball percentage, which helps one of Crawford's weaknesses (bottom 28% in ground-ball percentage). I like his chances of pitching into the sixth inning once again, especially with San Fran averaging only 2.2 runs per game over the last five.

Crawford is carrying solid strikeout numbers thus far and has a good chance of making another deep start tonight. Give me the over for his K total.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.