3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: Week 11

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season is here, and we kick things off on Thursday Night! I'll be bringing this article every Thursday along with a show on the Covering the Spread podcast feed to break things down.

Mark Andrews Any Time Touchdown (+155)/
Mark Andrews Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Week 11 starts on Thursday Night Football with the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Cincinnati Bengals, so let's jump into some props.

The home Ravens are favored by 3.5 points and we see a healthy total up at 46.0 points. Both offenses have been putting up some serious points in recent weeks, an encouraging sign we could see some scoring.

We'll start with two props from Ravens' tight end, Mark Andrews, who has a great matchup and is due for a bounce-back game.

When it comes to the Bengals' defense this season, they have allowed the fourth-most (602) receiving yards to opposing tight ends and tied for the third-most (4) touchdowns allowed. The middle of the field has been a bit of a weak spot for the Bengals, putting Andrews in a great spot to rack up the yards.

Andrews is coming off a game last week with just 4 targets, 2 receptions, and 44 yards. That accounted for his lowest number of targets and receptions this season, with the second-fewest receiving yards.

Since Week 2, Andrews has a team-high 23.0% target share and a massive 36.1% red zone target share. That red zone target share is not only the highest on the team, it's 15% higher than the next player.

This is nothing new, Andrews had a 28% red zone target share last season, which was 13% higher than the next player on the Ravens. We've seen this for a few seasons now and it's clear Andrews is the favorite target of Lamar Jackson in the scoring area.

Andrews plays a clear role in the Ravens' offense and has a great matchup to exploit this week to find the end zone.

Joe Burrow Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+102)

With a very tough matchup, under 1.5 passing touchdowns is the spot to look for Joe Burrow.

Burrow is an awesome quarterback and there's no doubt he's turned things up to a new level after starting the season slowly. Burrow comes in with at least two touchdowns in five straight games and a total of six two-plus touchdown games on the season. He's also thrown for at least 280 yards in four of the last five games, with his two most recent games going for over 340 passing yards.

Yes, Burrow is awesome, but this is a very tough matchup.

The Ravens' defense is elite this season and has allowed a total of seven passing touchdowns in 10 games, which is the fewest in the league. They also lead the league with 39 sacks this year, while Burrow sits in the top 10 for most sacks taken.

This does not shape up to be a good spot for Burrow, who has historically struggled versus the Ravens. In six career games against the Ravens, Burrow has 11 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, and 16 sacks taken.

Burrow is hot right now, but this Ravens' defense has what it takes to slow him down this week.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.