3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 2/2/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Chet Holmgren Over 26.5 Pts + Reb (-106)

Chet Holmgren is averaging 24.3 combined points and rebounds (PR) in his rookie season for the Oklahoma City Thunder, but a key injury and friendly matchup should have Holmgren punching above his weight in tonight's contest against the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets grant opposing teams one of the smoothest matchups in basketball, especially centers. Charlotte has been surrendering the most points and the second-most rebounds per game to this position.

Holmgren nets 52.6% of his points in the paint and 14.6% from the foul line. The Hornets cede the fifth-most paint points to centers per 36 minutes and the 12th-most free-throw attempts overall. Holmgren can get going from downtown and comes into tonight with the sixth-most three-point makes (3PM) among all centers in the league, so it doesn't hurt that Charlotte lets up the fifth-most 3PM per game.

Add in that Charlotte is giving up the fourth-most putback opportunities per game, which could allow Holmgren to buff up his PR numbers with efficiency, and it's hard not to love this matchup.

But, beyond a date with the Hornets, I am high on Holmgren due to the fact that Jalen Williams (ankle) is out for the Thunder. Williams is averaging 22.7 PR this season, so his absence in OKC's lineup inevitably hands Holmgren additional scoring and rebounding duties.

In four games without Williams this season, Holmgren is averaging 30.8 PR. I think the over is the side to be on.

Cade Cunningham Over 19.5 Points (-120)

Cade Cunningham (knee) is listed as probable for tonight's game between the Detroit Pistons and Los Angeles Clippers, and since he has not encountered any minutes restriction or performance decline in two games since rejoining the lineup, I feel good about targeting his points prop in this situation.

On the season, Cunningham is averaging 22.7 points per game. He's eclipsed 19.5 points in 27 of his 37 full games (played just 11 minutes in one contest after leaving with an injury). He is clearing this prop at a 72.9% clip but the -120 odds here imply just a 54.55% probability.

The lowly Pistons will go up against a legitimate Clippers team, but I don't think this will prevent Cunningham from finding his shot.

LAC allows the 15th-most paint points and the 13th-most three-point attempts (3PA) to guards per 36 minutes. Since the Clippers are pretty middle-of-the-road against guards, and Cunningham is far and away the highest-volume shooter on this Pistons team, I'd be pretty surprised if he doesn't go for at least 20 points tonight.

Detroit's got a 113.5 implied team total in this one. In 15 games where the Pistons have put up at least 113.0 points, Cunningham is averaging 24.5 points and has exceeded 19.5 points in 11 of those contests.

Jonas Valunciunas Over 24.5 Pts + Reb (-113)

The New Orleans Pelicans will take on a young and defensively inept San Antonio Spurs team, so I'd look for Jonas Valanciunas to be a total monster on the stat sheet.

Valanciunas is averaging 23.8 PR this season, but when handed a cushy matchup, he takes advantage.

The Spurs surrender the third-most points and the fourth-most rebounds to centers. San Antonio's disheartening 46.2% team field-goal percentage (seventh-worst in NBA) has led to them sacrificing the second-most boards per game.

San Antonio is letting opposing teams get off the sixth-most putback attempts in the league, which should pair nicely with Valanciunas, who averages the sixth-most putback points in the NBA. We should see plenty of chances for JV to get his own rebound and put it back on the glass, and he'll get to do so against the team that has been surrendering the third-most points in the paint over their last 10 games.

Valanciunas and the Pelicans have met up with the Spurs twice this season. JV averaged a whopping 33.0 PR in this span (36.0 and 30.0 PR performances).

San Antonio's defense hasn't made any improvements since that time, so if we can get Valanciunas' PR line set right around his 23.8 PR average in this ultra-friendly matchup, I see no reason to fade the over.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.