MLB

3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Friday 6/28/24

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some MLB player props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

MLB Player Props

Nathaniel Lowe to Record an RBI (+190)

The Texas Rangers are on the road to face Albert Suarez, and I like this spot for Texas' offense, particularly the Rangers' lefties, and I like that -- as guests -- Texas is locked into batting in the ninth, which could result in an extra plate appearance for Nathaniel Lowe.

Overall, Camden Yards is a pretty pitcher-friendly park now, but it's still a good spot for lefties to go ding dong as it is the 10th-highest home run park factor for left-handed hitters, per Statcast.

Suarez should help in that regard, as well. He's permitting a 40.9% fly-ball rate overall, including a 47.5% fly-ball rate to lefty bats. He's been lucky with long balls so far this season as his homer-per-fly-ball rate sits at an unsustainably low 3.1%.

Lowe will likely hit sixth, putting him behind all of the Rangers' top bats. That's a stellar spot for RBI chances.

While Lowe's 2024 numbers aren't pretty, he was really good versus right-handers in 2023, mashing to the tune of a .363 wOBA in the split.

I am intrigued by a couple Rangers props today, including Corey Seager to record 2+ bases (+100), but Lowe to drive in a run at +190 is my favorite prop bet from this game.

Ozzie Albies to Record 2+ Bases (-115)

Ozzie Albies' numbers against lefties are so good that I'm starting to wonder if the switch-hitting Albies should just bat right-handed all the time.

In 2024, Albies owns a .396 wOBA versus southpaws with a 38.3% hard-hit rate. Last season, his wOBA against lefties was an eye-popping .433. Dude rakes from the right side of the plate.

Today, the Atlanta Braves will see veteran lefty Martin Perez.

So far in 2024, Perez has more or less been the same guy he's been in recent seasons, pitching to a 4.49 SIERA and 18.0% strikeout rate. Righties are mauling him for a .369 wOBA.

Given Perez's and Albies' splits, this lines up as a great spot for the Braves' second baseman.

Christian Yelich to Record a Run (-130)

I wanted to pick on Jameson Taillon today in his clash with the Milwaukee Brewers, and I think this is the best way to do it.

Taillon got a late start to 2024 due to injury and has mostly been meh through his first 68 1/3 frames, recording a 4.31 SIERA with a lowly 18.3% strikeout rate.

His splits to either side of the plate are still fairly small for 2024, but a year ago, lefties hammered Taillon for a .363 wOBA and 2.22 homers per nine innings.

Yelich is having another superb campaign, boasting a .387 wOBA, and he'll likely hit in the three hole, his usual spot.

The Brewers are implied to score 4.48 runs on Friday, and Yelich can be a part of that. He's scored 32 times through 55 outings, including eight times in the past nine games.

Yelich to record 2+ bases at +100 is also appealing, and given how often Yelich walks (11.8% walk rate), I prefer to side with him to score a run at -130.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.