3 Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 2/27/25

The beauty of the NBA is you will never be short on prop-betting options for a given slate.

From points to steals and three-pointers, FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA odds are overflowing with possibilities. We're here to help you sift through it all.

Using FanDuel Research's NBA projections as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing on FanDuel.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NBA odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's Best NBA Player Prop Picks

Hornets at Mavericks

LaMelo Ball Over 35.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-122)

LaMelo Ball has gone a rough 4 for 23 (17.4% FG%) from the floor across his last two games. Let's look for him to get back on track against the Dallas Mavericks.

LaMelo's recent shooting struggles have left him undervalued in the combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) market.

On the season, he's averaging 38.5 PRA and has exceeded 35.5 PRA at a powerful 75.0% rate -- up from the 54.9% implied probability on these -122 odds. Once we take out two games LaMelo left early due to injury, the hit rate on the over at this line climbs to 79.4%.

The Mavericks pose as a decent matchup for Ball. Dallas (16th) plays at a faster pace than the Charlotte Hornets (23rd). The Mavs also let up the 13th-most points, 12th-most rebounds, 13th-most assists to guards per game.

Last month, LaMelo tallied 23 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds -- good for 39 PRA -- against Dallas. I'm expecting him to put up those kinds of numbers this go-around.

Pelicans at Suns

CJ McCollum Over 27.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-120)

Perhaps no one in the NBA sees a bigger stat bump when facing a bad defense than C.J. McCollum.

McCollum is averaging a respectable 29.6 PRA per game on the year. That average falls to 25.4 PRA in games against a top-20 defense. But in contests against a bottom-10 defense, McCollum is generating an eye-popping 35.2 PRA.

He's played nearly as many games against top-20 defenses (24) as he has against bottom-10 defenses (20), so we can feel confident with this sample size.

With that, let's look for McCollum to log north of 27.5 PRA against the Phoenix Suns, who come in with the fourth-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

The Suns cough up the 9th-most points, 8th-most rebounds, and the 13th-most assists to guards.

McCollum has cleared 27.5 PRA in 70.0% of games versus the 10 worst defenses, and he's hit it at an 80.0% rate against the six worst defenses in the league. Earlier this season, he posted 34 PRA against the Suns.

Our NBA projections expect McCollum to continue his trend of hunting down inferior opponents as we forecast him to tally 28.8 PRA tonight.

Warriors at Magic

Franz Wagner To Record 2+ Steals (+178)

Franz Wagner has recorded at least two steals in 18 out of 40 games this season. That's good for a 45.0% rate, but these +178 odds imply only a 35.9% probability.

If we include only games where Wagner played at least 25 minutes, he has notched at least two steals at a 47.2% clip.

Once we account for only games where Wagner played at least 31 minutes -- he averages 33.2 minutes per game -- he is netting 1.5 steals per game and has recorded at least two steals at a 51.7% rate.

The opposing Golden State Warriors rank 17th in pace. Wagner, meanwhile, is averaging 1.6 steals and has notched at least two steals in 52.6% of games against bottom-15 pace teams. If we adjust this split to also include games without Jalen Suggs (quad; out), Wagner is averaging 1.8 steals per game.

I see value in backing Wagner to record two steals at +178 odds. This game is showing a close spread (5.0), low total (211.5), and will feature two of the top 8 defenses in the NBA. Thus, we should be in for a scrappy affair that puts Wagner in a position to force a few turnovers.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.