3 Best MLB Playoff Bets, Player Props, and Home Run Picks for Sunday 10/5/25

In a given MLB slate, you've got tons of markets to dig through, from totals to home runs and strikeout props.
Which bets stand out for today's games?
Below, I'm going to run through my favorite bets in FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds. You can get additional insights from our daily MLB player prop projections.
Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.
Today's Best MLB Bets, Player Props, and Home Run Picks
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Yankees -0.5 in First 5 Innings (-113)
We've watched the New York Yankees' bullpen dust a quality Max Fried start...this postseason. Even with that in mind, New York is well-positioned to lead after five.
Fried turned a 3.20 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) in September into 6.1 scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox with 11 Ks. The Toronto Blue Jays were only 16th in team OPS (.686) against left-handed pitchers in the month of September, so chasing righty Luis Gil was a more predictable event.
Meanwhile, Toronto will start Trey Yesavage just 14.0 innings into his MLB career. He'll draw a Yanks lineup that posted a top-five OPS (.769) in September against righties. Though Yesavage's 3.87 SIERA was solid in this period, he allowed a frightening 61.5% hard-hit rate in this limited sample, which would have easily been the worst among qualifying MLB starters.
That'll likely normalize in time, but taking the step that he'll stay step-for-step with Max Fried in a Game 2 that New York desperately needs? Highly doubtful.
Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners
Mariners Moneyline (+112)
Jorge Polanco to Hit a Home Run (+680)
Moneyline
Urgency is the theme of this bet, too. The Seattle Mariners dropped Game 1 at home, so a consecutive loss could be the series.
A dandy of a pitching matchup awaits as the Detroit Tigers' ace, Tarik Skubal, toes the slab opposite Seattle's Luis Castillo. Betting against Skubal isn't ideal, but Castillo -- posting a 3.12 SIERA and 27.6% K rate in September -- is as good of a counter punch as it gets. Skubal also quietly struggled in MLB's final month (by his standards) with six earned over four starts. Shutting down a weak Cleveland Guardians offense was to be expected.
Seattle had a .780 OPS against lefties in September, a mark that towered over Detroit's .631 against righties (fifth-worst in MLB).
Especially consider last night's extra-inning affair, I also have concerns about the depth of the Tigers' bullpen, which had baseball's 24th-ranked SIERA (3.99) in September.
The Mariners seem to have all the answers to even this series at one.
One of them could be Jorge Polanco.
Projected to hit fifth, the second baseman smashed southpaws to end an up-and-down 2025 campaign. Across 28 plate appearances in September, he posted a 1.269 OPS, .440 ISO, 47.8% flyball rate, and 34.8% hard-hit rate.
With two bombs in this sample, Polanco led the team next to Eugenio Suarez and Julio Rodriguez, who are both shorter than six-to-one odds. Can the 32-year-old veteran that everyone is counting out deliver?
Well, Skubal's September issues came almost exclusively via the long ball. Uncharacteristically, he gave up 1.21 HR/9 in the final month of the season with an elevated flyball rate (38.2%).
Of course, with effective pitchers on the bump at every turn in the postseason, finding a great dinger pick is nearly impossible. I'll take this true dart that Polanco is Game 2's hero.
You can also download our free 2025 MLB playoffs printable bracket to follow along all postseason.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.