3 Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Wednesday 8/13/25

Across all of sports, few things are more exciting than the long ball.

That translates to the prop market, too, where each crack of the bat can get our heart pumping.

Which home run props stand out for today's MLB action?

Utilizing our MLB home run projections as a guiding light, here are some MLB home run props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and our MLB projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Today's Best Home Run Props

Jordan Walker to Hit a Home Run (+680)

A once highly touted prospect, Jordan Walker hasn't been able to figure it out yet at the big-league level. Despite that, he still possesses enormous power, and I like him to go yard this afternoon against lefty Austin Gomber.

While Walker's statistical profile features very few positives, he owns a 99th-percentile bat speed and 89th-percentile average exit velocity. The problems for Walker are that he doesn't make enough contact (30.7% K rate), and when he does make contact, too much of it is into the ground (36.5% fly-ball rate).

But Walker is in a groove right now. Across his line nine batted balls, six of them have an exit velocity of at least 96 MPH, with a pair of balls hit at 111 MPH. He's seeing the ball well, and he can thrive against Gomber.

The veteran Colorado Rockies' lefty has struggled to a 5.28 SIERA over 49.2 innings this season. His strikeout rate is a career-worst 13.2%, and he's giving up a 49.7% fly-ball rate -- a pair of numbers that are a big help to Walker.

The good matchups don't stop with Gomber as the Rockies' relievers boast the second-worst xFIP (4.60) and have allowed the second-most homers per nine innings (1.35).

Addison Barger to Hit a Home Run (+430)

Cade Horton's surface stats look dang good, but the underlying numbers aren't nearly as solid, which puts me on Addison Barger to hit a dinger.

Horton has pitched to a 3.18 ERA. He's benefitted from some good fortune, though, as his expected ERA is 4.28. He's got just an 18.0% strikeout rate, and he's been much worse on the road (.349 wOBA) than at home (.252).

That puts Barger in a good spot tonight in Toronto. A breakout bat, Barger is having a big year, highlighted by a .355 expected wOBA and 18 jacks in 364 plate appearances. He's been particularly lethal against righties, sporting a 42.9% hard-hit rate and 45.3% fly-ball rate in the split.

Barger has gone deep four times over his last 53 plate appearances, and he can add to that tally today.

Jesus Sanchez to Hit a Home Run (+540)

Walker Buehler is a far cry from the emerging ace he was a few years ago, and that has me interested in Houston Astros homer props. Jesus Sanchez catches my eye at this +540 number.

For the season, Buehler has registered a 4.97 SIERA and lowly 16.6% K rate while surrendering 1.71 home runs per nine. Lefty bats have tagged him for a .385 wOBA while Buehler has permitted a .389 wOBA on the road.

Sanchez -- who owns a 93rd-percentile bat speed -- usually gets pulled for a pinch-hitter if he comes up against a lefty, which stinks, but he rakes versus right-handers, mashing his way to a .344 wOBA and 38.9% hard-hit rate in the split. In 44 plate appearances since coming to Houston, he's upped his fly-ball rate to 44.2% after posting a 34.2% fly-ball rate this year with the Miami Marlins.

If Sanchez is lucky enough to face a right-hander out of the Boston Red Sox's bullpen, chances are it'll be a friendly matchup as Boston sits 27th in reliever xFIP (4.72) over the last 30 days.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.