3 Best College Football Win Total Bets for 2024
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At long last, the 2024 college football season is nearly upon us as Week 0 kicks off in about a month's time. The collegiate landscape will look a lot different following major conference realignment and the introduction of the 12-team College Football Playoff.
As usual, the offseason delivered a lot of change from key players departing for the NFL Draft to shakeups in the transfer portal. Analyzing these offseason shifts can give us a leg up when looking at FanDuel Sportsbook's college football win total odds.
In fact, a few win totals are standing out when diving into roster changes. Let's check out three of the best college football win total bets for the 2024 season.
Oregon Over 10.5 Wins (+100)
Let's start with one of the expected powerhouses of 2024. The Oregon Ducks are in a position to compete for all of the hardware, carrying the second-shortest odds to win the Big Ten (+210), -290 odds to make the College Football Playoff, and the third-shortest odds to win the national championship (+800).
The Ducks won their first New Year's Six Bowl since 2019 to cap the 2023 campaign, finishing with a 12-2 record. One could argue that Oregon only improved in the offseason.
Coach Dan Lanning continued to stack the roster with the third-best 2024 recruiting class, per 247 Sports. The Ducks had their fair share of losses, including quarterback Bo Nix, running back Bucky Irving, wide receiver Troy Franklin, and the reigning Rimington Trophy winner Jackson Powers-Johnson.
As they say, all Oregon did was reload. Lanning's work in the transfer portal was something to behold as he brought home two top-12 quarterbacks in Dillon Gabriel and Dante Moore. The Ducks also added the second-best transfer receiver -- Evan Stewart -- and the third-best cornerback available in Jabbar Muhammad.
The additions keep going, too. It's safe to say that Oregon will still have plenty of talent for the upcoming season.
So, let's dig into Oregon's win total and why will the Ducks reach 11 wins, delivering on the intriguing +100 odds.
Oregon still has plenty of experience for the 2024 season.
Wide receiver Tez Johnson, who led the 2023 team with 86 receptions while recording 1,182 receiving yards (second-most), is back in the fold. Running back Jordan James is a promising piece to replace Irving, for he racked up 759 rushing yards on 7.1 yards per carry in 2023.
The experience carries over to the defense as the unit has returning linebackers in Jeffrey Bassa and Jestin Jacobs. Muhammad, Kam Alexander -- the UTSA transfer -- and Kobe Savage, who transferred from Kansas State, provide a ton of experience in the secondary.
Finally, Gabriel has four years of expertise under his belt while reaching over 3,500 passing yards in three seasons. While no official reports have labeled Gabriel as the starting QB, it looks very likely after his odds to win the Heisman Trophy recently moved to +750 (tied for shortest).
There's not much that has me worried about this roster. Finding a new quality starting center could be the biggest concern. Oregon is even looking like a modest bet to win the Big Ten over the favored Ohio State Buckeyes (+155).
The Ducks have a favorable non-conference schedule against the Idaho Vandals, Boise State Broncos, and Oregon State Beavers. Ohio State and the Michigan Wolverines are likely the biggest threats in Big Ten play, but Oregon gets the Buckeyes at home, and the Wolverines are carrying only a 8.5 win total.
Give me the Ducks to reach 11 regular-season wins.
USC Under 7.5 Wins (-122)
Let's stick with the Big Ten but highlight a team that could be on the decline. The USC Trojans are another squad joining the Big Ten in 2024.
Similar to their former Pac-12 rival Oregon -- that feels weird to say -- USC is replacing some big-time players. Of course, the elephant in the room is the No. 1 pick from the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams. He won the 2022 Heisman Award and totaled over 10,000 passing yards in three seasons. Quarterbacks on this level don't grow on trees, even for coach Lincoln Riley.
The losses continue, for the the Trojans' top rusher MarShawn Lloyd and leading receivers Tahj Washington and Brenden Rice left for the NFL.
As 247 Sports' 17th-best 2024 unit, the Trojans' recruiting class is nothing to write home about. They did add the 10th-best transfer running back in Woody Marks from the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Plus, the receiving corps still has talent led by Zachariah Branch, who is already drawing first-round interest for the 2026 NFL Draft.
While talent is still present, I'm concerned about this USC team. We don't really know what we are getting with quarterback Miller Moss. He was impressive with 372 passing yards and 6 touchdowns in the Holiday Bowl, but Moss has one career start. We still don't really know what the fourth-year signal-caller is capable of.
After giving up 34.4 points per game (PPG) in 2023, the Trojans made the wise decision to move on from defensive coordinator Alex Grinch, replacing him with D'Anton Lynn from UCLA. Lynn's a promising hire after leading UCLA to giving up the 15th-fewest PPG in the nation.
Still, it will likely take time to heal USC's defense. The Trojans have had one of the Power 5's worst defenses for years; this won't be fixed overnight.
To add insult to injury, USC has a tough schedule ahead. They open the season against LSU, who has a 9.5 win total. The Trojans are also tasked with going on the road against Michigan and Washington. Plus, Penn State and Notre Dame are two more tough tasks with win totals of 9.5 and 10.5, respectively.
I'm expecting 2024 to be a down year for USC. The defense is a major work in progress, and Moss will likely prove to be a big downgrade from Williams. A tough schedule is the final blow, suggesting under 7.5 wins.
Kansas Over 8.5 Wins (+138)
Next to Oregon, the Kansas Jayhawks possess my second-favorite line to go over their win total. The odds are even better than the Ducks at +138.
Under coach Lance Leipold, Kansas has enjoyed consistent increases to their win total. In Leipold's first season, the Jayhawks mustered only two wins, followed by six and nine wins over the previous two seasons. Kansas was one win short of nine for the 2023 regular season. The Jayhawks can continue their uptick, going over 8.5 in 2024.
Most importantly, Kansas' star quarterback Jalon Daniels is entering the season healthy. He appeared in only three games last season due to a back injury.
Daniels has flashed potential throughout his career, including 2,014 passing yards and 425 rushing yards in 2022. He is even listed among long shots to win the Heisman Award (+3000).
The Jayhawks were picked fourth in the Big 12's preseason media poll. This team has 30 seniors and had 3 losses within 1 possession last year. The 2024 squad was already close to going over 8.5 wins -- and perhaps even reaching a double-digit total.
This team simply has experience everywhere. Devin Neal -- a 1,280-yard rusher from last season -- is back. Logan Brown, who is a former five-star recruit, is gearing up to be the starting left tackle. Cornerback Cobee Bryant is another returning stud that earned First Team All-Big 12 honors in 2023.
The Big 12 is looking a bit more manageable with the Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns joining the SEC. FanDuel has four teams ahead of Kansas to win the conference. Among the four, the Jayhawks only have the Kansas State Wildcats on the schedule.
Additionally, Kansas' non-con schedule is far from daunting with Lindenwood, the Illinois Fighting Illini, and UNLV Rebels over the first three weeks of play.
The Jayhawks have more than enough returning experience on a team that already reached eight regular-season wins in 2023. The schedule is pretty favorable, and Kansas played close in nearly every contest last season. This squad has enough in the tank to reach nine victories.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.