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2024 NFL Power Rankings Entering Week 16

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2024 NFL Power Rankings Entering Week 16

We're through 15 weeks, and the postseason picture is really starting to take shape.

Let's run through all 32 teams and see how they stack up -- according to numberFire's nERD-based rankings -- heading into Week 16.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

NFL Power Rankings (Week 16)

Teams Ranked 32nd to 23rd

Rank
Team
nERD
Playoff Odds
Division Odds
Super Bowl Odds
32ndCarolina Panthers-14.920.00%0.00%0.00%
31stCleveland Browns-12.120.00%0.00%0.00%
30thJacksonville Jaguars-11.060.00%0.00%0.00%
29thLas Vegas Raiders-10.340.00%0.00%0.00%
28thNew England Patriots-9.790.00%0.00%0.00%
27thNew York Giants-9.320.00%0.00%0.00%
26thTennessee Titans-9.110.00%0.00%0.00%

The Indianapolis Colts were hanging on to some faint playoff hopes entering Week 15. Those are basically gone now, although Indy is still technically alive. After getting off to a great start at the Denver Broncos last week, the Colts shot themselves in the foot multiple times, with Jonathan Taylor dropping the ball before crossing the goal-line and receiver Adonai Mitchell tossing a pick-six on a trick play.

A win over Denver -- a team Indy is chasing in the Wild Card race -- would've been huge for the Colts' playoff chances. Instead, the Colts are 3.0 games back of sixth-place Denver and 2.0 games back of the seventh-place Los Angeles Chargers.

Teams Ranked 22nd to 13th

Rank
Team
nERD
Playoff Odds
Division Odds
Super Bowl Odds
22ndNew York Jets-4.140.00%0.00%0.00%
21stMiami Dolphins-1.414.90%0.00%0.00%
20thAtlanta Falcons-1.3817.60%11.10%0.10%
19thNew Orleans Saints-1.190.00%0.00%0.00%
18thSeattle Seahawks-0.7129.80%29.40%0.20%
17thLos Angeles Rams-0.0154.60%54.50%0.30%
16thCincinnati Bengals0.442.40%0.00%0.00%

The whole of the NFC West falls into this tier, and we saw the highest-rated team in the division -- the San Francisco 49ers -- fall out of the division race with a home loss to the Los Angeles Rams. By our numbers, the Rams (54.6%) have the best chance to win the NFC West, although it's still very much a three-team race between LA, the Seattle Seahawks (29.8%) and the Arizona Cardinals (16.1%).

NFC West Winner 2024-25
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals

Teams Ranked 12th to 1st

Rank
Team
nERD
Playoff Odds
Division Odds
Super Bowl Odds
12thHouston Texans3.07100.00%100.00%3.00%
11thPittsburgh Steelers3.57100.00%63.70%2.70%
10thTampa Bay Buccaneers3.9392.40%88.90%1.80%
9thDenver Broncos5.9193.30%0.00%1.00%
8thKansas City Chiefs6.18100.00%100.00%12.30%
7thWashington Commanders6.6789.70%0.10%1.90%
6thGreen Bay Packers7.7899.70%0.00%3.90%

Of the 12 teams in this grouping, 10 won last week. The two that didn't -- Pittsburgh Steelers and Detroit Lions -- lost to other teams in this tier.

Despite falling at home to the Buffalo Bills, Detroit maintains its stranglehold atop the rankings, but the Lions now sit level with the Minnesota Vikings atop the ultra-competitive NFC North. The two are scheduled to tangle in Week 18 in Detroit in what may wind up being a division championship game.

There's a similar type of affair this week as the Baltimore Ravens host the Steelers on Saturday. Baltimore is a game back in the AFC North. If the Ravens -- who are 6.5-point home favorites -- win, the two rivals will be even at the top of the division with two weeks to play. If the Steelers upset the Ravens on Saturday, the AFC North crown is theirs.

AFC North Winner 2024-25
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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