With Week 17 officially in the books, we are entering the final week of the 2023 NFL regular season! The San Francisco 49ers remain on top of our NFL Power Rankings -- which come via numberFire's nERD metric -- while the Carolina Panthers remain at the bottom.

This week, we are talking playoffs and draft position. While much has already been decided, there is still plenty to play for.

First up is the AFC East, which will be decided by a showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football. Per the NFL Division Winner Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Bills are favorites (-164).

Next up is the AFC South. The Jacksonville Jaguars can clinch the division with a win over the Tennessee Titans, but if they lose, the winner of Saturday's clash between the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts will take the crown.

The NFC South is also still up in the air. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers can clinch the title with a win over the Panthers, but a loss opens the door for both the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

The NFC East is still undecided, as well, but the Dallas Cowboys are heavy favorites (-1350) to win it. A victory over the Washington Commanders or an Philadelphia Eagles loss to the New York Giants will finish the job.

Outside of the four division titles, there are also several Wild Card playoff spots up for grabs. At the bottom of the standings, the draft order -- outside of the first overall pick -- is still up in the air and could have huge implications on the future outlook for several teams.

The team with the best Super Bowl odds, per numberFire's model, after Week 17? The 49ers (33.4%).

The team with the second-best Super Bowl odds? The Baltimore Ravens (30.3%).

Here's where things stand heading into Week 18.

NFL Power Rankings (Week 18)

Teams Ranked 32nd to 23rd

All of the teams in the bottom tier of our Power Rankings are looking ahead to next season. The Chicago Bears will pick first in 2024, thanks to their trade with the Panthers, but the rest of the top four picks remain undecided. The Arizona Cardinals, Washington Commanders, and New England Patriots currently round out the top four in the draft order.

After a strange season, which included at least 12 losses but wins over both the Cowboys and Eagles, the Cardinals are entering a critical offseason. They need to decide if they want to move forward with Kyler Murray as their franchise signal caller or draft his replacement in April. Where they ultimately finish the season could have a large impact on that decision. As it stands, Arizona ranks 22nd on offense, per numberFire's models, but last on defense. They rank third-best in rushing offense, but their passing game ranks sixth worst. Their defense has no silver lining, as they rank last against the pass and fourth-worst against the run. A full season with Murray under center could improve their offensive metrics, but they need an influx of talent on both sides of the ball.

With Sam Howell under center, the Commanders also had an up-and-down season. At times, they held their own against better opposition, but turnovers and a vulnerable defense were too much to overcome. On offense, their run game, which ranks 12th, was a bright spot, but it wasn't enough to overcome a passing attack that ranks 26th. On defense, they rank 31st against the pass and 25th against the run for an overall ranking of 31st. Like Arizona, they need to decide how to move forward at the quarterback position. If they finish with a top-two draft pick, that decision will be much easier to make. Facing a motivated Cowboys team this week, it is unlikely that Washington will pick any lower than third overall.

The same can't be said for the Patriots, who enter this week as 2.5-point favorites against the New York Jets. New England has been a better team in recent weeks, picking up wins against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Broncos and playing respectably against the Chiefs and Bills. Unlike Arizona and Washington, New England's path to improvement does not require changes to their defense. Despite multiple injuries to star players early in the season, they currently rank 10th overall, per numberFire. Their defense has been let down by their offense, which ranks 24th on the ground and 30th through the air for an overall ranking of 31st. New England's troubles on offense extend beyond the play of Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe, but their offseason seems likely to focus on making drastic improvements on that side of the ball. The result of their game against the Jets will have a large impact on their offseason plans, one way or another.

Teams Ranked 22nd to 13th

The middle tier of our Power Rankings is where the majority of teams vying for playoff spots this weekend reside.

Of them, the Jaguars are the most likely side to advance to the postseason. Their odds of making the playoffs, per numberFire, sit at 85.9%, which indicates that their -290 odds to make the playoffs, per the Make Playoffs Betting Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, are worth considering. The Jaguars are in with a win over the Titans and are currently listed as 5.5-point favorites.

Next up are the Colts and Texans, who will go head-to-head for a playoff spot on Saturday. numberFire's models give the Colts a 59.4% chance of making the playoffs, compared to just 40.7% for Houston. Those odds support the Colts current position as 1.5-point favorites at home. The Colts rank 15th in our Power Rankings while the Texans are 17th. A big factor in this clash will be the Texans' pass defense, which ranks 22nd. Both sides have a better passing game than running game, but the Colts have been better at defending the pass this season.

Next on the list is the Seattle Seahawks, whose odds of making the playoffs sit at 29.2%. Seattle's simplest path to the playoffs is a win over the Cardinals and a Packers loss to the Bears. numberFire's metrics give them a slightly better chance than their odds to make the playoffs (+270) on FanDuel. Playing at home, the Packers are 3.0-point favorites, but Chicago has won four of their last five. While the Seahawks are also 3.0-point favorites, they will be on the road against a Cardinals team that just upset the Eagles. With a ranking of 22nd overall, our Power Rankings don't see Seattle as a playoff team, but a path is there for them to earn a Wild Card.

The Steelers' odds of making the playoffs sit at just 6.4%, per numberFire. To do so, they will need help. There are several paths to the postseason for Pittsburgh, but the straightforward one involves a victory over the Ravens and a loss by either Buffalo or Jacksonville. Pittsburgh ranks 18th in our Power Rankings. Their defense, which ranks 12th, supports an offense that ranks 23rd. The Ravens have already clinched the top seed in the AFC, but their defense, which ranks second overall by numberFire's metrics, could still present a difficult challenge for Pittsburgh.

The Falcons' odds of making the playoffs sit at just 5.5%, according to numberFire. Their path to doing so runs entirely through the NFC South. They either win their division or they go home. The Falcons need to defeat the Saints and have the Buccaneers lose to the Panthers. That scenario will require two upsets, as Atlanta is a 3.0-point underdog to New Orleans and the Buccaneers are favored by 5.5 points over Carolina. Atlanta's defense, which ranks eighth, has had a solid season. But their offense, which ranks 25th, has held them back. With even average play from their offense, the Falcons likely could have clinched a division title in a weak NFC South. Instead, they enter the final week as longshots to do so.

Teams Ranked 12th to 1st

Of the 12 teams in the top tier of our Power Rankings, four have not yet clinched a playoff spot.

First up is the Buccaneers, who rank 12th. After their loss to the Saints in Week 17, their odds of making the playoffs sit at 83.7%. A win over the Panthers gets them there, but there are also long-shot scenarios where they could advance with a tie. Tampa is on the road in this one but are 5.5-point favorites. The Buccaneers' strength this season has been their passing game, which ranks eighth. Tampa's pass defense, which ranks 27th, has been a weakness, but it is one that the Panthers, whose passing game ranks 31st, are unlikely to take advantage of.

The Green Bay Packers sit in 10th place, but their odds of making the playoffs (63.4%) are worse. Recent losses to the Giants and Buccaneers have the Packers at risk of missing the postseason. Their simplest path to a Wild Card is a win over the Bears. Green Bay are home favorites, but the Bears are in excellent form and have the look of a side that will make things very difficult for their division rivals. The Packers can still make the playoffs with a loss, but it requires several other results to go their way. The metrics say the Packers belong in the playoffs. Their offense ranks eighth overall, supported by a passing attack that ranks fifth. Their defense, which ranks 23rd, has been an issue, though.

The Saints sit in ninth place but are in an even worse spot than the Packers. Their odds of making the playoffs sit at just 17.0%. It's been a strange season for New Orleans. They have been respectable on both sides of the ball, ranking 16th on offense and ninth on defense, but haven't been elite in any phase of the game. Their best unit is their pass defense, which ranks eighth. If the Saints defeat the Falcons, they will also need help from Tampa, Seattle, and Green Bay to advance to the postseason.

Finally, we arrive at the Bills. Despite sitting in fourth place in our Power Rankings, Buffalo still has work to do to make the playoffs. The Bills' struggles early in the season put them well behind schedule, but they turned things around at the right time and overcame an extremely difficult schedule to arrive at this point. Their odds of making the playoffs sit at 96.8%. A win over Miami earns them an AFC East title, but a loss could see them miss the playoffs entirely. Regardless of what happens, the metrics say Buffalo not only belongs in the playoffs but will be a Super Bowl contender if they get there. The Bills' offense ranks second on the ground and sixth through the air for an overall ranking of third, per numberFire. Their defense ranks sixth overall. numberFire's models give Buffalo the fourth-best odds of winning the Super Bowl (7.8%).

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.