VCU vs Dayton College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for A-10 Tournament Championship

The A-10 champion will be named on Sunday when the No. 2 seed VCU Rams (26-7, 15-3 A-10) and the No. 4 Dayton Flyers (23-10, 12-6 A-10) meet at 1 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
VCU vs. Dayton Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Game time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
- Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Arena: PPG Paints Arena
VCU vs. Dayton Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: VCU win (65.6%)
Here's a look at some betting trends for VCU (-2.5) versus Dayton on Sunday. The total has been set at 140.5 points for this game.
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VCU vs. Dayton: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- VCU is 16-16-0 ATS this season.
- Dayton has covered 14 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
- VCU (13-12) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (52%) than Dayton (6-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (60%).
- The Rams have done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-4-0) than they have in home games (7-10-0).
- The Flyers have performed better against the spread at home (8-9-0) than on the road (4-7-0) this season.
- VCU's record against the spread in conference play is 8-11-0.
- Dayton is 8-11-0 against the spread in A-10 games this season.
VCU vs. Dayton: Moneyline Betting Stats
- VCU has come away with 21 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This year, the Rams have won 21 of 22 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Dayton has been the moneyline underdog nine total times this season. Dayton has finished 4-5 in those games.
- The Flyers are 4-5 (winning 44.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that VCU has a 58.7% chance of pulling out a win.
VCU vs. Dayton Head-to-Head Comparison
- VCU was 94th in the nation in points scored (76.9 per game) and eighth-best in points allowed (62.9) last year.
- On the glass, VCU was 25th-best in the nation in rebounds (35.3 per game) last season. It was 65th in rebounds conceded (29.4 per game).
- Last season VCU was ranked 77th in college basketball in assists with 15 per game.
- VCU committed 10.9 turnovers per game last season and forced 12.9 per game, ranking 150th and 53rd, respectively, in the nation.
- Dayton put up 75.4 points per game (134th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while giving up 70.8 points per contest (140th-ranked).
- Dayton pulled down 30.9 boards per game (239th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 30.1 rebounds per contest (104th-ranked).
- Last season Dayton ranked 69th in college basketball in assists, delivering 15.2 per game.
- With 10 turnovers per game, Dayton ranked 71st in the nation. It forced 11.1 turnovers per contest, which ranked 197th in college basketball.
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