UConn vs Xavier College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (15-17, 6-14 Big East) will play in the Big East tournament against the No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (27-4, 17-3 Big East) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UConn vs. Xavier Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

UConn vs. Xavier Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UConn win (86.8%)

UConn is a 14.5-point favorite against Xavier on Thursday and the total has been set at 151.5 points. Here's some betting insights and trends before you decide to wager on the outing.

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UConn vs. Xavier: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UConn has compiled a 10-21-0 record against the spread this season.
• Xavier has won 16 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 16 times.
• UConn (3-9) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 14.5 points or more this season (25%) than Xavier (1-2) does as a 14.5+-point underdog (33.3%).
• The Huskies have done a better job covering the spread in away games (5-6-0) than they have in home games (4-13-0).
• This year, the Musketeers are 9-9-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-7-0 ATS (.364).
• UConn has beaten the spread seven times in 20 conference games.
• Xavier has 11 wins against the spread in 21 Big East games this season.

UConn vs. Xavier: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UConn has been victorious in 22, or 84.6%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Huskies have come away with a win eight times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -1250 or better on the moneyline.
• Xavier has won 25% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-15).
• The Musketeers have not won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +740 or longer in three chances.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UConn has a 92.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

UConn vs. Xavier Head-to-Head Comparison

• UConn was 90th in the nation in points scored (77.0 per game) and 56th in points allowed (68.0) last year.
• On the boards, UConn was 111th in college basketball in rebounds (33.1 per game) last year. It was second-best in rebounds conceded (25.9 per game).
• UConn was eighth-best in the country in assists (17.3 per game) last season.
• Last season, UConn was 71st in the nation in turnovers committed (10.0 per game) and 317th in turnovers forced (9.8).
• Xavier averaged 78.1 points per game (73rd-ranked in college basketball) last year, while ceding 71.6 points per contest (165th-ranked).
• Xavier pulled down 30.0 rebounds per game (294th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.1 rebounds per contest (104th-ranked).
• Xavier was one of the best teams in college basketball in terms of assists, as it averaged 16.7 per game (21st-best in college basketball).
• Xavier averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (108th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 11.6 turnovers per contest (146th-ranked).

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