Texas Tech vs Baylor College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 20

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (14-4, 4-1 Big 12) will attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they visit the Baylor Bears (11-6, 1-4 Big 12) on January 20, 2026 at Foster Pavilion.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Waco, Texas
• Arena: Foster Pavilion

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Baylor win (53.9%)

Before making a wager on Tuesday's Texas Tech-Baylor spread (Texas Tech -2.5) or total (154.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Texas Tech vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Tech has compiled an 8-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• Baylor has put together a 7-9-0 record against the spread this season.
• Texas Tech covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 46.2% of the time. That's more often than Baylor covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Red Raiders covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 10 times in 18 games when playing at home, and they covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• The Bears' winning percentage against the spread at home is .444 (4-5-0). On the road, it is .250 (1-3-0).
• Texas Tech is 3-2-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• Baylor has won once against the spread in Big 12 action this year.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Tech has won in 12, or 92.3%, of the 13 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Red Raiders have yet to lose in 12 games when named as moneyline favorite of -150 or better.
• Baylor has lost all five of the games it has been the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Bears have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +125 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Texas Tech has an implied victory probability of 60% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Texas Tech vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Tech averages 83.4 points per game (64th in college basketball) while allowing 73.1 per contest (166th in college basketball). It has a +185 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.3 points per game.
• JT Toppin paces Texas Tech, recording 21.6 points per game (11th in college basketball).
• Baylor outscores opponents by 12.2 points per game (posting 87.1 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and allowing 74.9 per outing, 218th in college basketball) and has a +207 scoring differential.
• Cameron Carr is ranked 22nd in the country with a team-leading 20.5 points per game.
• The Red Raiders are 58th in the nation at 35.5 rebounds per game. That's 4.2 more than the 31.3 their opponents average.
• Toppin is fourth in college basketball action with 11.2 rebounds per game to lead the Red Raiders.
• The Bears average 37.1 rebounds per game (28th in college basketball) while allowing 30.1 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.0 boards per game.
• Caden Powell's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Bears and rank 106th in college basketball.
• Texas Tech ranks 55th in college basketball with 104.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 131st in college basketball defensively with 91.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Bears rank 47th in college basketball averaging 105.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 105th, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.

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