Tennessee State vs UT Martin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for OVC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Tennessee State Tigers (21-9, 15-5 OVC) head into the OVC tournament against the No. 4 seed UT Martin Skyhawks (22-10, 13-7 OVC) on Friday at Ford Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Evansville, Indiana
• Arena: Ford Center

Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tennessee State win (57.6%)

If you plan to place a wager on Tennessee State-UT Martin matchup (in which Tennessee State is a 2.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 142.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Friday's game.

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Tennessee State vs. UT Martin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Tennessee State is 16-11-0 ATS this season.
• UT Martin has covered 15 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
• Tennessee State (6-7) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (46.2%) than UT Martin (4-3) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (57.1%).
• The Tigers have done a better job covering the spread on the road (10-6-0) than they have in home games (5-5-0).
• Against the spread, the Skyhawks have had better results on the road (10-4-0) than at home (5-7-0).
• Tennessee State has covered the spread 11 times in 20 conference games.
• UT Martin has beaten the spread 10 times in 21 OVC games.

Tennessee State vs. UT Martin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Tennessee State has come away with 11 wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Tigers have come away with a win 10 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or shorter on the moneyline.
• UT Martin has won two of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (28.6%).
• The Skyhawks have gone 2-4 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer (33.3%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tennessee State has a 58.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Tennessee State was 73rd in the country offensively (78.1 points scored per game) and 219th defensively (73.3 points conceded).
• Tennessee State was the sixth-best squad in college basketball in rebounds per game (37.5) and ranked 164th in rebounds allowed (30.9) last season.
• Tennessee State was 203rd in the country in assists (13.3 per game) last season.
• Tennessee State was the second-worst team in college basketball in turnovers per game (14.5) and 93rd in turnovers forced (12.2) last year.
• UT Martin put up 74.4 points per game (155th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 71.9 points per contest (176th-ranked).
• UT Martin allowed 31.8 boards per game last year (217th-ranked in college basketball), but it thrived by pulling down 35.9 rebounds per contest (19th-best).
• Last season UT Martin ranked 184th in college basketball in assists, averaging 13.5 per game.
• With 12.2 turnovers per game, UT Martin was 277th in college basketball. It forced 12.2 turnovers per contest, which ranked 93rd in college basketball.

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