Bradley vs Valparaiso College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Bradley Braves (20-11, 13-7 MVC) will take the court in the MVC tournament against the No. 7 seed Valparaiso Beacons (18-14, 11-9 MVC), Friday at 7 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Bradley vs. Valparaiso Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Bradley vs. Valparaiso Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Bradley win (62.8%)

Before you bet on Friday's Bradley-Valparaiso spread (Bradley -4.5) or over/under (134.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Bradley vs. Valparaiso: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Bradley has compiled a 12-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Valparaiso is 21-10-0 ATS this season.
• Bradley covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 43.8% of the time. That's less often than Valparaiso covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (69.2%).
• At home, the Braves sport a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (3-8-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Beacons have a lower winning percentage at home (.688, 11-5-0 record) than on the road (.714, 10-4-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Bradley is 8-12-0 this year.
• Valparaiso has beaten the spread 14 times in 21 MVC games.

Bradley vs. Valparaiso: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Bradley has been victorious in 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Braves have a mark of 15-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -192 or better on the moneyline.
• Valparaiso has a 7-11 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.9% of those games).
• The Beacons are 2-10 (winning just 16.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer.
• Bradley has an implied victory probability of 65.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Bradley vs. Valparaiso Head-to-Head Comparison

• Bradley was 108th in the country in points scored (76.3 per game) and 70th in points allowed (68.5) last year.
• Last season, Bradley was 207th in the country in rebounds (31.4 per game) and 147th in rebounds allowed (30.7).
• Last season Bradley was ranked 111th in the nation in assists with 14.4 per game.
• Bradley was 176th in the country in turnovers per game (11.1) and 250th in turnovers forced (10.5) last season.
• Last year Valparaiso scored 74.7 points per game (147th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 73.9 points per contest (238th-ranked).
• Valparaiso pulled down 31.1 rebounds per game (229th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 31.9 rebounds per contest (226th-ranked).
• Valparaiso ranked 292nd in the nation with 12 assists per contest.
• Valparaiso forced 11.1 turnovers per game last season (197th-ranked in college basketball), but it averaged just 9.3 turnovers per contest (25th-best).

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