NBA Betting Picks for Monday 11/13/23: Will the Cavaliers Topple the Kings?

The 82-game NBA regular season offers us a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. The Association features 1,230 regular season games, which can make sifting through the odds an overwhelming task.

However, various advanced statistics can help narrow the choices. numberFire's NBA power rankings and daily projections paired with advanced stats from the NBA can help give the inside track to winning big.

While utilizing some of the mentioned tools, which NBA odds from FanDuel Sportsbook look like the best bets today?

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Best Bets

New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

Under 222.0 (-114)
Knicks +9.5 (-114)

The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics meet for the second time this season, with the Celtics winning the October 25th matchup by a score of 108-104. After going under in the previous head-to-head matchup, will tonight's matchup be another low-scoring contest?

Each team's defensive rating certainly suggests the under; New York ranks second in defensive rating while Boston is third. The Knicks also play at the fifth-slowest pace in the Association, once again pointing to the under.

The Celtics play at a much quicker pace, though (15th-quickest). They average 91.3 field goals attempted per game (10th). The matchup could roll to the over if Boston wins the pace battle.

The last head-to-head meeting suggests that the Knicks could control the pace of the game. The Celtics attempted only 77 shots, and New York dominated the offensive glass, giving the Knicks extra possessions. The Knicks corralled 17 offensive rebounds compared to Boston's 7.

This advantage could continue as New York ranks second in offensive rebounding percentage and third in defensive rebounding percentage. Mitchell Robinson could be an excellent choice for prop bets; he leads the NBA with 7.2 contested rebounds per game.

With both defenses ranking among the top three and the Knicks' ability to control the pace with dominant rebounding, I like the under.

Along with the under, I love New York to cover the 9.5-point spread. The Knicks are 3-0-1 against the spread (ATS) over the previous four head-to-head matchups versus Boston. The three-point line is another way that New York can keep it close.

The Celtics attempt 43.7 three-pointers per game (2nd), and the Knicks allow 34.9 three-pointers attempted per game (14th). The other side of the court is where New York has a clear advantage. They average 37.1 three-pointers attempted per game (8th) while Boston allows 38.2 three-pointers attempted per game (27th).

In the previous collision, the Knicks drained 18 threes compared to the Celtics' 12. New York could control the pace of the game and win the three-point battle, leading to a cover.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Sacramento Kings

Cavaliers -2.5 (-112)

Following the Knicks-Celtics on NBA TV, the Cleveland Cavaliers against the Sacramento Kings is the nightcap of the doubleheader.

Of course, both teams had excellent 2022-23 seasons; the Cavs had their first 50-win campaign in the post-LeBron James era while the Kings made the postseason for the first time since 2005-06. Thus far in 2023-24, both teams have been underwhelming. Cleveland sits at 4-5, and Sacramento is 4-4.

Injuries have been a problem for both squads. But the Cavaliers are almost fully healthy now as Jarrett Allen has played in four consecutive games after missing the first five games of the season. Darius Garland has also played in four straight after missing four consecutive contests.

The Kings, on the other hand, are still battling injuries. De'Aaron Fox is doubtful for tonight's game after missing the last five contests with an ankle injury. This is an obvious blow to Sacramento as Fox started the season red-hot, averaging 31.3 points per game (PPG) over his first three games. Additionally, he leads the team in usage rate at 33.3%.

With Fox absent, this has put more pressure on various players to produce, such as Davion Mitchell and Kevin Huerter. Mitchell has not lived up to the task with a team-worst -16.9 net rating, and Huerter currently has a career-worst 102.2 offensive rating.

Ultimately, the Kings' backcourt pales in comparison to Cleveland's duo of Garland and Donovan Mitchell. The Cavs' starting backcourt leads the team in usage rate (Garland 26.6%; Mitchell 32.4%) and ranks among the top four in offensive rating.

Sacramento is 1-3 ATS over their last four games. Garland (17.4 PPG) and Mitchell (29.5 PPG) could feast against the Kings' starting backcourt -- especially against Mitchell, who has a 120.0 defensive rating. Give me the Cavaliers to cover on the road.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.