Michigan vs Penn State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 5

The Michigan Wolverines (20-1, 10-1 Big Ten) will host the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-12, 1-10 Big Ten) after winning three straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Penn State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, February 5, 2026
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Arena: Crisler Center

Michigan is a 26.5-point favorite against Penn State on Thursday and the over/under has been set at 161.5 points. Keep reading for a few betting trends and insights to help you make an informed wager on the outing.

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Michigan vs. Penn State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has compiled a 10-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Penn State has compiled a 9-13-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Wolverines have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered six times in 11 opportunities at home, and they've covered one time in six opportunities in road games.
• The Nittany Lions' winning percentage against the spread at home is .385 (5-8-0). Away, it is .500 (3-3-0).
• Michigan's record against the spread in conference action is 3-8-0.
• Penn State is 6-5-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.

Michigan vs. Penn State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has been victorious in 18, or 94.7%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Wolverines have played as a favorite of -20000 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Penn State is 1-11 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 8.3% of those games).
• The Nittany Lions have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +3500 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan has a 99.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Michigan vs. Penn State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan's +453 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 21.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 90.5 points per game (eighth in college basketball) while giving up 68.9 per outing (63rd in college basketball).
• Yaxel Lendeborg's 14.7 points per game lead Michigan and rank 314th in college basketball.
• Penn State has a -42 scoring differential, falling short by 1.9 points per game. It is putting up 76.5 points per game, 179th in college basketball, and is allowing 78.4 per outing to rank 300th in college basketball.
• Kayden Mingo's team-leading 14.1 points per game rank him 383rd in the country.
• The Wolverines win the rebound battle by 10.5 boards on average. They collect 38.6 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in college basketball, while their opponents grab 28.1 per outing.
• Lendeborg is 129th in college basketball action with 7.2 rebounds per game to lead the Wolverines.
• The Nittany Lions are 351st in the nation at 27.2 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 fewer than the 30.5 their opponents average.
• Ivan Juric is 547th in college basketball with 5.1 rebounds per game, leading the Nittany Lions.
• Michigan ranks 20th in college basketball by averaging 107.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is fifth in college basketball, allowing 82.1 points per 100 possessions.
• The Nittany Lions average 101.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (93rd in college basketball), and concede 104.5 points per 100 possessions (354th in college basketball).

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