Michigan State vs Wisconsin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 13

The No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (20-4, 10-3 Big Ten) visit the Wisconsin Badgers (17-7, 9-4 Big Ten) in Big Ten play at Kohl Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 13, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, February 13, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Madison, Wisconsin
• Arena: Kohl Center

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (53.8%)

Before you wager on Friday's Michigan State-Wisconsin spread (Michigan State -1.5) or total (148.5 points), read the betting insights and trends below.

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Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has compiled a 13-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Wisconsin has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Wisconsin is 3-3 against the spread compared to the 11-9 ATS record Michigan State racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Spartans have covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as road games (50%). They have covered seven times in 14 games at home and three times in six games when playing on the road.
• The Badgers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .429 (6-8-0). On the road, it is .833 (5-1-0).
• Michigan State has eight wins against the spread in 13 conference games this year.
• Wisconsin has eight wins against the spread in 13 Big Ten games this season.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been victorious in 18, or 94.7%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Spartans have been victorious 16 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or better on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has won 33.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (2-4).
• The Badgers have a 2-3 record (winning 40% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 57.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Michigan State was 78th in the nation on offense (77.7 points scored per game) and 44th on defense (67.1 points allowed).
• On the boards, Michigan State was 10th-best in the country in rebounds (36.7 per game) last season. It was 28th in rebounds conceded (28.2 per game).
• Last season Michigan State was 24th-best in the nation in assists with 16.5 per game.
• Last year, Michigan State was 135th in the country in turnovers committed (10.7 per game) and 265th in turnovers forced (10.4).
• Last season Wisconsin averaged 80.1 points per game (36th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 70.9 points per contest (143rd-ranked).
• Wisconsin grabbed 33.1 boards per game (111th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 31.3 rebounds per contest (187th-ranked).
• Wisconsin put up 14.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 105th in the country.
• Wisconsin forced 9.6 turnovers per game last year (331st-ranked in college basketball), but it averaged just 9.2 turnovers per contest (19th-best).

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