Mets vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 8:15 a.m.

MLB action on Friday includes the New York Mets playing the Kansas City Royals.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Mets vs Royals Game Info

• New York Mets (53-41) vs. Kansas City Royals (46-48)
• Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium -- Kansas City, Missouri
• Coverage: FDSKC and SNY

Mets vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-136) | KC: (+116)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+115) | KC: +1.5 (-138)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Mets vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kodai Senga (Mets) - 7-3, 1.47 ERA vs Michael Wacha (Royals) - 4-9, 3.83 ERA

The Mets will give the nod to Kodai Senga (7-3) versus the Royals and Michael Wacha (4-9). Senga and his team are 7-6-0 ATS this season when he starts. Senga's team has won 69.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-4). The Royals have an 8-10-0 record against the spread in Wacha's starts. The Royals are 6-6 in Wacha's 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Mets vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (57.7%)

Mets vs Royals Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Mets vs. Royals reveal New York as the favorite (-136) and Kansas City as the underdog (+116) despite being the home team.

Mets vs Royals Spread

• The Royals are +1.5 on the spread (-138 to cover), and New York is +115 to cover the runline.

Mets vs Royals Over/Under

• A combined run total of 9 has been set for Mets-Royals on July 11, with the over at -120 and the under at -102.

Bet on New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals on FanDuel today!

Mets vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Mets have been victorious in 40, or 64.5%, of the 62 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season New York has been victorious 27 times in 43 chances when named as a favorite of at least -136 on the moneyline.
• The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 90 opportunities.
• The Mets are 44-46-0 against the spread in their 90 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Royals have won 48.3% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (28-30).
• In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +116 or longer, Kansas City has a 12-13 record (winning 48% of its games).
• In the 93 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Royals, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-56-2).
• The Royals have collected a 48-45-0 record against the spread this season (covering 51.6% of the time).

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto leads New York in OBP (.399) this season, fueled by 87 hits. He has a .264 batting average and a slugging percentage of .502.
• Among the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 67th, his on-base percentage ranks fourth, and he is 21st in slugging.
• Pete Alonso leads New York in slugging percentage (.540) and total hits (100) this season. He's batting .284 with an on-base percentage of .376.
• He is 31st in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging in the majors.
• Francisco Lindor has collected 96 base hits, an OBP of .332 and a slugging percentage of .457 this season.
• Lindor has logged a hit or more in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo has been key for New York with 88 hits, an OBP of .319 plus a slugging percentage of .470.
• Nimmo has hit safely in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has accumulated a slugging percentage of .501 and has 109 hits, both team-best numbers for the Royals. He's batting .295 and with an on-base percentage of .346.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 13th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 53rd and he is 23rd in slugging.
• Witt hopes to build on a 13-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .385 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
• Maikel Garcia has a .363 OBP to lead his team. He has a batting average of .305 while slugging .464.
• His batting average ranks eighth among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is 49th in slugging.
• Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .270 with 13 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .245 with 24 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks.

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