Kentucky vs LSU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 16 seed LSU Tigers (15-16, 3-15 SEC) will play in the SEC tournament against the No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (19-12, 10-8 SEC) on Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Kentucky vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kentucky win (70.5%)

Kentucky is a 7.5-point favorite against LSU on Wednesday and the over/under has been set at 151.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.

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Kentucky vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky has put together a 15-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• LSU has compiled an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Kentucky (7-6) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (53.8%) than LSU (5-2) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (71.4%).
• The Wildcats sport the same winning percentage against the spread at home (.500) as they do in away games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Tigers have a lower winning percentage at home (.471, 8-9-0 record) than away (.800, 8-2-0).
• Kentucky has nine wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• LSU has beaten the spread 11 times in 18 SEC games.

Kentucky vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky has been victorious in 10, or 71.4%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Wildcats have been victorious five times in eight chances when named as a favorite of at least -285 or better on the moneyline.
• LSU has won 7.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (1-13).
• The Tigers have played in seven games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +230 or longer without earning a win.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Kentucky has a 74% chance of pulling out a win.

Kentucky vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Kentucky averages 81.2 points per game (66th in college basketball) while giving up 73.7 per outing (176th in college basketball). It has a +233 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game.
• Kentucky's leading scorer, Otega Oweh, ranks 83rd in college basketball putting up 18.2 points per game.
• LSU puts up 81.4 points per game (62nd in college basketball) while giving up 78.2 per contest (302nd in college basketball). It has a +99 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 3.2 points per game.
• Max Mackinnon paces LSU, averaging 15.2 points per game (286th in college basketball).
• The Wildcats rank 60th in the country at 34.5 rebounds per game. That's 4.2 more than the 30.3 their opponents average.
• Malachi Moreno paces the team with 6.6 rebounds per game (209th in college basketball play).
• The Tigers pull down 34.3 rebounds per game (65th in college basketball) while conceding 31.5 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.8 boards per game.
• Pablo Tamba averages 7.4 rebounds per game (111th in college basketball) to lead the Tigers.
• Kentucky's 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 66th in college basketball, and the 93.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 133rd in college basketball.
• The Tigers' 102.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 81st in college basketball, and the 98.0 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 258th in college basketball.

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