AU - Werribee - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SEVEN OCEANS (7) is a filly who's always had a bit of a rap on her and she's gone close in this grade before. Probably found the class a bit too rich last time out but has had a break since and the jumpouts have hinted she'll be ready to go first-up. DOC'S NIPPER (3) stuck on well last start to finish second over 5f at Pakenham when camped just off the speed but he finds a more suitable race this time. Shouldn't be lacking for fitness now third-up from a spell. MOSQUITO AWARD (5) is a sister to Swats That who had a brief but fruitful debut prep and has trialled like she'll pick up where she left off. TESORO MIO (4) has been kept fresh since winning over 4 ½f at Corowa but was kept up to the mark with a recent Bendigo trial placing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Filly back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp January 10 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja carrying 119lbs at $41. Previously first up, eighth of 10 at Seymour Mdn-Sw September 11 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind The Real Mahjong with 121lbs at $1.60. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 7 Seven Oceans Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Mark Walker J: Declan Bates T: Mark Walker	118	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Filly back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 12 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp January 10 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Jenni The Ninja carrying 119lbs at $41. Previously first up, eighth of 10 at Seymour Mdn-Sw September 11 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind The Real Mahjong with 121lbs at $1.60. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.
3	Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Sale 0 - 62 on March 29 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind She Daresthe Devil with 132lbs at $14. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on April 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind I'm Foxing carrying 131lbs at $11. Profiles nicely. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 3 Doc's Nipper Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Patrick Keane J: Craig Newitt T: Patrick Keane	128	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Sale 0 - 62 on March 29 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind She Daresthe Devil with 132lbs at $14. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on April 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind I'm Foxing carrying 131lbs at $11. Profiles nicely. Will take plenty of beating.
8	Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Geelong Bm62 on April 1 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Empire Song carrying 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that 9th of 11 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on February 28 over 5 ½f, 9 len behind Educated carrying 112lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Can give a sight on-speed provided she doesn't have to work too hard from the gate. 3rd Pick 8 Superliv Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: L & T Corstens & W Larkin J: Non Runner T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin	139	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Geelong Bm62 on April 1 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Empire Song carrying 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that 9th of 11 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on February 28 over 5 ½f, 9 len behind Educated carrying 112lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Can give a sight on-speed provided she doesn't have to work too hard from the gate.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.