AU - Werribee - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

THINKING SENSATION (7) stayed out of trouble and led all the way to win his maiden at Donald in his penultimate start, and then held that form when finishing second at Yarra Valley just over 3 weeks ago when sent out as the favourite. The slight drop back in trip will suit him, and he will be hard to beat again. SUZE SPRITZ (12) won her maiden by a length here 2 starts back, and then was beaten by a wide draw as the favourite last time out at Terang 10 days ago. She is still at the improving stage of her career, and from a slightly better gate, she can bounce straight back into the money here. YAKI ISHI (1) did nothing fresh up, and then charged home at big odds second up when finishing runner-up at Echuca 12 days ago. The extra 1f is ideal, and he can go one better, but don't expect another fancy price. IZOLA (11) resumes from a spell, and any market leads are worth following. SHOWMARA (3) is worth another chance with a senior hoop back in the saddle.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 19 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Queensbury with 134lbs at $2.70. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Donald 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Moral Turpitude with 131lbs at $1.60. Likely to feature again. 1st Pick 7 Thinking Sensation Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Eoin Walsh T: Matt Cumani	96	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Yarra Valley Bm56 on December 19 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Queensbury with 134lbs at $2.70. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Donald 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Moral Turpitude with 131lbs at $1.60. Likely to feature again.
12	At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 13 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Age carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw December 15 over 7f defeating Antalian carrying 123lbs at $3.20. Expected to go very well. 2nd Pick 12 Suze Spritz Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Ryan Hurdle T: Lindsey Smith	159	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 13 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Age carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The run before that favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw December 15 over 7f defeating Antalian carrying 123lbs at $3.20. Expected to go very well.
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up second last of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on December 11 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Viasain with 131lbs at $41. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at Echuca Bm56 on December 31 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Zenacity with 137lbs at $81. Shaping up nicely and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 1 Yaki Ishi Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Neil Dyer J: Cian Macredmond T: Neil Dyer	113	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up second last of 12 at Kyneton Bm62 on December 11 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Viasain with 131lbs at $41. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at Echuca Bm56 on December 31 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Zenacity with 137lbs at $81. Shaping up nicely and can go on with it.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.