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4:00 AM

AU - Terang - Race 4

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
21.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

I'M HELRO (7) won two jumpouts and then was heavily bet at Horsham on debut, but faded late after stalking the lead. She's sure to have taken improvement from that and deserves another chance. BUTTERCUP (5) placed at Casterton as a short-priced favourite before the spell and raced wide without cover at Warrnambool first-up. She was well in the market and will be better for that outing. She's capable of using the inside barrier to her advantage and has winning claims. WEMBLEY STADIUM (4) resumes for the Archibald yard and has looked talented at the jumpouts. The well-bred gelding maps for the run of the race, and a bold effort is on the cards. UNDER CONTROL (14) debuts and has been well educated. Won his latest jumpout and on profile she has to be kept very safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
I'm Helro silk

Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Alzaro carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Looms as a serious contender.

1st Pick
7

I'm Helro

Jockey: Fred W Kersley

Trainer: Lindsey Smith

J: Fred W Kersley

T: Lindsey Smith

75---37%7/4

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Horsham Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Alzaro carrying 127lbs at $2.05. Looms as a serious contender.

5
Buttercup silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Dirnaseer with 127lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Casterton Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Ballynacally carrying 127lbs at $1.75. Fitter and can break through.

2nd Pick
5

Buttercup

Jockey: Jake Noonan

Trainer: Tom Dabernig

J: Jake Noonan

T: Tom Dabernig

93---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Dirnaseer with 127lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 10 at Casterton Mdn-Sw on May 18 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Ballynacally carrying 127lbs at $1.75. Fitter and can break through.

4
Wembley Stadium silk

Gelding by Zoustar making his first appearance. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on December 5. Jumps from a favourable gate and he looks very promising.

3rd Pick
4

Wembley Stadium

Jockey: Ryan Houston

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Ryan Houston

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

104---19%9/2

Analysis

Gelding by Zoustar making his first appearance. Was runner-up in a jump-out at Flemington on December 5. Jumps from a favourable gate and he looks very promising.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.