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6:25 AM

AU - Terang - Race 7

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
10.7f
OPEN
Turf
HEAVY 8
56.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This looks a set play from the Shane Jackson yard with recent stable addition FOUJITA SAN (6). He's been good in two runs back, albeit having every hope last time at Caulfield when well backed and beaten a neck. He can strip fitter third up, gets in well with Bates on from a nice draw and suspect he'll peak for this with the local Warrnambool Cup also on the cards. ALDER (5) also presents third up having found the line well behind a very progressive horse in Zakouma last start at Flemington. He does draw wide but will be rattling home. POST IMPRESSIONIST (1) resumes. He hasn't won in a long time but has been contesting Group staying races and is well up to this if wound up. MONBAHER (2) resumes. He didn't fire in two runs last campaign but is a Listed winner and could surprise. UNSEEN RULER (9) is going well and should be very fit.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Foujita San silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Ambassadorial carrying 127lbs at $31. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Bm84 on March 14 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Stylish Secret carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Profiles nicely. Can get the job done.

1st Pick
6

Foujita San

Jockey: Declan Bates

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Declan Bates

T: Shane Jackson

179---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 11 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, long-neck behind Ambassadorial carrying 127lbs at $31. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Caulfield Bm84 on March 14 over 1 ¼m, neck behind Stylish Secret carrying 127lbs at $3.10. Profiles nicely. Can get the job done.

5
Alder silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1m, 5 len behind Astral Flame with 132lbs at $31. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm84 on March 28 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Zakouma with 132lbs at $31. Well placed. Very hard to hold out.

2nd Pick
5

Alder

Jockey: Jamie Mott

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

J: Jamie Mott

T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

105---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 8 at Flemington Bm84 on February 28 over 1m, 5 len behind Astral Flame with 132lbs at $31. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Flemington Bm84 on March 28 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Zakouma with 132lbs at $31. Well placed. Very hard to hold out.

1
Post Impressionist silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation 13th of 16 at Pakenham in the LR Pakenham Cup December 13 over 1/16m, 9 len behind Taramansour carrying 127lbs at $101. When resuming last campaign ran last of 8 at Flemington Qlty Hcp August 2 over 1/16m, 3.5 len behind Bold Soul carrying 131lbs at $8. Certainly has the class on his day, have to include.

3rd Pick
1

Post Impressionist

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Simon Ryan

J: Tom Madden

T: Simon Ryan

60---3%33/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation 13th of 16 at Pakenham in the LR Pakenham Cup December 13 over 1/16m, 9 len behind Taramansour carrying 127lbs at $101. When resuming last campaign ran last of 8 at Flemington Qlty Hcp August 2 over 1/16m, 3.5 len behind Bold Soul carrying 131lbs at $8. Certainly has the class on his day, have to include.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.