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5:50 AM

AU - Terang - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
28.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALERO (3) narrowly on top. He's racing well, showing speed last time at Caulfield when only run down late in another good effort. This is technically a rise in grade to BM78 company but it doesn't look much harder and he gets in well from an ideal gate. RAIKOKE (1) did enough fresh in a much tougher sprint behind subsequent G1 winner Jigsaw. He's right up in the weights now but 7f is fine and he has the class. SALSA FELLOW (2) has been going okay without winning this time in. He goes 5 ½f to 7f but has been close up in a couple of runs at the trip and can be charging late. LUNA CAT (4) hasn't won in a while but was good in a decent race at Caulfield last time and she has won twice at 7f.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Alero silk

Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at Caulfield Bm70 on April 4 over 7f, long-neck behind Russian Meteor with 131lbs at $3.30. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on March 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Trapdoor carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Making headway. Will be very hard to run down.

1st Pick
3

Alero

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: John Allen

T: Ciaron Maher

174---34%2/1

Analysis

Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at Caulfield Bm70 on April 4 over 7f, long-neck behind Russian Meteor with 131lbs at $3.30. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 on March 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Trapdoor carrying 131lbs at $3.40. Making headway. Will be very hard to run down.

1
Raikoke silk

Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Caulfield Vgold Sprint on March 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jigsaw with 117lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 14 at Caulfield Bm84 on June 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 12 len behind Zou Sensation carrying 128lbs at $9. Did enough fresh and this suits much better.

2nd Pick
1

Raikoke

Jockey: Olivia East

Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

J: Olivia East

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

152---19%9/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Caulfield Vgold Sprint on March 14 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jigsaw with 117lbs at $10. Previously second-up second last of 14 at Caulfield Bm84 on June 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 12 len behind Zou Sensation carrying 128lbs at $9. Did enough fresh and this suits much better.

2
Salsa Fellow silk

Last start from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Flemington Bm78 on March 28 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Stoli Bolli with 128lbs at $18. Before that 5th of 8 at Flemington Vg Comet on February 28 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Bridal Waltz with 119lbs at $9. Rates highly today can run a much improved race.

3rd Pick
2

Salsa Fellow

Jockey: Mitchell Aitken

Trainer: Henry Dwyer

J: Mitchell Aitken

T: Henry Dwyer

98---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start from last on the turn 6th of 12 at Flemington Bm78 on March 28 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Stoli Bolli with 128lbs at $18. Before that 5th of 8 at Flemington Vg Comet on February 28 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Bridal Waltz with 119lbs at $9. Rates highly today can run a much improved race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.