AU - Colac - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

56.0K

VIEW

Verdict

The big one of the day and there looks to be a sense of timing about ACTIVE DUTY (7), who finished fourth two runs back then improved last start but found one better over 1 ¼m at Caulfield in BM78 grade. Although well beaten, he did beat home Stylish Secret who won last Saturday at Caulfield, so the form looks good. Feels wrong tipping against STATION ONE (2) in a Country Cup, especially given he's won two of them at his past two and has an on-pace racing style often suited here on dry decks, but there does look a touch more depth here. KHOR (8) just missed last time but might have peaked on the run late, so the extra fitness from that will assist here. GREGOLIMO (4) has not won for a long while but will find this much easier than his first two runs back.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Caulfield Bm78 on January 24 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Suntora carrying 125lbs at $3.90. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Camperdown Camp Cup on January 17 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mister Me with 120lbs at $3.70. Can go on with the job now. 1st Pick 7 Active Duty Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Dean Yendall T: Lindsey Smith	132	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Caulfield Bm78 on January 24 over 1 ¼m, 4.5 len behind Suntora carrying 125lbs at $3.90. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Camperdown Camp Cup on January 17 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mister Me with 120lbs at $3.70. Can go on with the job now.
6	Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Camperdown Camp Cup January 17 over 1m defeating New York Hurricane carrying 120lbs at $7. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool Woodford Cup on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.3 len behind Ocean Beyond with 119lbs at $7. Expected to take some running down. 2nd Pick 6 Mister Me Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Non Runner T: Shane Jackson	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Camperdown Camp Cup January 17 over 1m defeating New York Hurricane carrying 120lbs at $7. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool Woodford Cup on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.3 len behind Ocean Beyond with 119lbs at $7. Expected to take some running down.
2	Comes off a 36 day let-up. At the latest run won by a nose at Burrumbeet Bbt Cup January 1 over 1m defeating Friday At Five with 131lbs at $3.80. Before that won by 0.8 len at Traralgon Trar Cup November 30 over 1 ³/16m in the wet defeating Rick's Cafe with 120lbs at $2.80. Country Cups legend who must be considered. 3rd Pick 2 Station One Jockey: Jack Hill Trainer: Liam Howley J: Jack Hill T: Liam Howley	107	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Comes off a 36 day let-up. At the latest run won by a nose at Burrumbeet Bbt Cup January 1 over 1m defeating Friday At Five with 131lbs at $3.80. Before that won by 0.8 len at Traralgon Trar Cup November 30 over 1 ³/16m in the wet defeating Rick's Cafe with 120lbs at $2.80. Country Cups legend who must be considered.

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