AU - Colac - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

35.0K

VIEW

Verdict

CAT NOIR (6) showed good early speed then led into the straight last start before fighting on to finish third, beaten 1.75 lengths, over 1m at Sandown-Hillside. This is a step back in grade and she did win at this track the start prior, so no reason she won't be fighting out the finish. MISTER BUSINESSMAN (3) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race when he made late ground and finished 2.75 lengths away in fifth last time out over 7 ¾f at Geelong. Steps up a level but he is good enough to take this out. SUZE SPRITZ (9) showed good early dash and led throughout to score by 1.3 lengths last time out over 7 ?f at Werribee, which made it two wins from the past three and has drawn to play a key role. CACHINK (2) hasn't won for a while but has contested some much tougher races than this and should be primed to peak after three runs back. GEFFINA (7) has been working up to a win and only needs the right run from the wide gate.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 on January 28 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Two Sigma carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that won by a neck at this track Bm62 January 6 over 1m defeating Liberty Rae carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Major player. 1st Pick 6 Cat Noir Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Teo Nugent T: Jamie Edwards	122	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 on January 28 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Two Sigma carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that won by a neck at this track Bm62 January 6 over 1m defeating Liberty Rae carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Major player.
3	Most recently 5th of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 2.75 len behind All Business with 131lbs at $41. The run before that second last of 8 at Werribee Bm66 on December 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Real Alliance with 133lbs at $7. Encouraging effort last start. Has ability and is among the leading hopes. 2nd Pick 3 Mister Businessman Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Matthew Williams J: Dean Yendall T: Matthew Williams	168	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on January 26 over 7 ¾f, 2.75 len behind All Business with 131lbs at $41. The run before that second last of 8 at Werribee Bm66 on December 7 over 1m, 6 len behind Real Alliance with 133lbs at $7. Encouraging effort last start. Has ability and is among the leading hopes.
9	Most recently won by 1.3 len at Werribee Bm56 January 12 over 7f defeating Phoebe Buffay with 129lbs at $4.80. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 13 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Age carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Rates highly here and can measure up. 3rd Pick 9 Suze Spritz Jockey: Fred W Kersley Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Fred W Kersley T: Lindsey Smith	115	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently won by 1.3 len at Werribee Bm56 January 12 over 7f defeating Phoebe Buffay with 129lbs at $4.80. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 13 at Terang Bm56 on January 2 over 7f, 3 len behind Golden Age carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Rates highly here and can measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.