NZ - Riverton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SECRET BEAU (3) won his NZ debut on the Riccarton poly track by over 4 lengths earlier in the season, and has been kept on ice since then. He is headed for better things and should have the measure of this field as well. SAILOR GIRL (6) raced on the pace and got to be within a neck of the winner when finishing runner-up at Ascot Park nearly 3 weeks ago. She benefits from a 4lbs claim and should be right in the finish again. LINARA (5) showed talent when trained in the North Island, and makes his South Island debut without the benefit of a public trial. The market will be the best guide to his chances. DE RUSSIAN ROCKET (1) hit some form during his recent winter campaign, and will have the winkers on for his return. If he doesn't need the run, then he can figure in the top 4. ALI NEL (7) has pace and will have the blinkers on this time. She could be allowed to run early, and in a field that lacks depth outside of the top 2, she could be hard to peg back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign winning to post a big 4.5 len win. Riccarton Park Synthetic August 6 over 6f defeating Shakabrah carrying 129lbs at $1.70. On debut second of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 2 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Three Point Turn carrying 131lbs at $4. All set for a bright return. 1st Pick 3 Secret Beau Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Joseph Waldron J: Daniel Bothamley T: Joseph Waldron	86	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign winning to post a big 4.5 len win. Riccarton Park Synthetic August 6 over 6f defeating Shakabrah carrying 129lbs at $1.70. On debut second of 7 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw June 2 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Three Point Turn carrying 131lbs at $4. All set for a bright return.
6	At the latest run 2nd of 13 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Intercept with 119lbs at $14.40. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 10 len behind Sabrina Hall with 119lbs at $11.60. Can improve again. Winning chance. 2nd Pick 6 Sailor Girl Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Kendra Bakker T: Robert Dennis	62	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 13 at Ascot Park on December 13 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Intercept with 119lbs at $14.40. The race before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at Ascot Park on November 23 over 7f, slow going 10 len behind Sabrina Hall with 119lbs at $11.60. Can improve again. Winning chance.
5	Gelding back from a spell of seven months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation when last of 18 at Ellerslie June 7 over 1m, soft track, 16 len behind Peerless carrying 128lbs at $26.60. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Hawera May 6 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Pleasing with 128lbs at $3.70. In the right race and sure to go well. 3rd Pick 5 Linara Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Jenn Sheridan J: Terry Moseley T: Jenn Sheridan	40	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of seven months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation when last of 18 at Ellerslie June 7 over 1m, soft track, 16 len behind Peerless carrying 128lbs at $26.60. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Hawera May 6 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind Pleasing with 128lbs at $3.70. In the right race and sure to go well.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.