NZ - Riverton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

11.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FILTER (10) had a genuine excuse when finishing seventh at Riccarton nearly 5 weeks ago. If she has not missed any vital work in the interim, then she is capable of figuring in the top 3 for the first time. CAPULET (19) is making his South Island debut, and he was sent out as the favourite on a heavy track when on debut last winter. The blinkers are on, and any market confidence has to be respected. TURN THE TIDE (2) has been knocking on the door, and she has made the field after a few scratchings. Hard to beat. CELESTIAL FLAME (11) makes her debut and has trialled in the North Island. She might want more ground, but any positive market moves will be worth following. RHEINHARDT (1) makes his debut, and he has been given plenty of time to mature. A good draw should give him every chance to make a positive impact early on. Check the market moves.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Last start 6th of 14 at Wingatui on March 27 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Money Muncher carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Before that 6th of 14 at Wingatui on March 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Brutal Riff with 125lbs at $11.30. Terrific chance to return to form. 1st Pick 15 Momento Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brian & Shane Anderton J: Non Runner T: Brian & Shane Anderton	85	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 6th of 14 at Wingatui on March 27 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Money Muncher carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Before that 6th of 14 at Wingatui on March 15 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Brutal Riff with 125lbs at $11.30. Terrific chance to return to form.
10	Comes off a 33 day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 14 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Lady Maxima carrying 123lbs at $8.30. The race before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind The Arctic Monkey with 123lbs at $7.30. Winning hope. 2nd Pick 10 Filter Jockey: Brett Murray Trainer: Ashley Frye J: Brett Murray T: Ashley Frye	133	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Comes off a 33 day let-up. At the latest run 7th of 14 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Lady Maxima carrying 123lbs at $8.30. The race before that 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind The Arctic Monkey with 123lbs at $7.30. Winning hope.
9	At debut, 11th of 14 at Wingatui on March 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Money Muncher carrying 122lbs at $13.10. Better for that run and looks well placed. 3rd Pick 9 Lethal Roc Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Non Runner T: Robert Dennis	56	-	-	-	5%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, 11th of 14 at Wingatui on March 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Money Muncher carrying 122lbs at $13.10. Better for that run and looks well placed.

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