NZ - Pukekohe - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CLEW BAY (7) has found it hard to win another race, but she is seldom far away, and she was only beaten by a neck over this trip here nearly 3 weeks ago when trying to make all the running. She draws a similar wide gate this time, but does slip back in class, and she can go one better. INTOXICATED (2) is another who is long overdue for his next win. He was running on too late when finishing fifth in the same race as the top pick last time out. He would love an even wetter track this time, and if he can get into the race at the right time, then he can have the last say. NICK TIME (3) has been ridden more closer to the pace than usual recently, and it has not really suited him. He has a nasty gate here, so expect him to go back, and he is not the worst here. Stick with him. ROSINA (11) has raced her way into some good form at this level, and another honest effort can be expected. IVY'S DANCER (8) was running on late in the same race as the top pick last start, and she has top 4 claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at this track on March 13 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.4 len behind Astarte carrying 122lbs at $9.80. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Taupo on February 22 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Crown Princess carrying 121lbs at $9.60. Shapes as a key runner. 1st Pick 7 Clew Bay Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	111	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at this track on March 13 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.4 len behind Astarte carrying 122lbs at $9.80. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Taupo on February 22 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Crown Princess carrying 121lbs at $9.60. Shapes as a key runner.
2	Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on March 13 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Astarte carrying 127lbs at $11.40. The start before that 7th of 14 at Matamata on February 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Apex carrying 128lbs at $6.60. Hard to beat on his best form. 2nd Pick 2 Intoxicated Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Craig Grylls T: Stephen Marsh	104	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on March 13 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Astarte carrying 127lbs at $11.40. The start before that 7th of 14 at Matamata on February 28 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Apex carrying 128lbs at $6.60. Hard to beat on his best form.
3	Last start 8th of 11 at Wanganui on March 14 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Say I Do with 128lbs at $8.20. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Matamata on February 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Apex with 129lbs at $15.40. Finds a nice race and can bounce back to his best. 3rd Pick 3 Nick Time Jockey: Rihaan Goyaram Trainer: Nick Kneebone J: Rihaan Goyaram T: Nick Kneebone	108	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Last start 8th of 11 at Wanganui on March 14 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Say I Do with 128lbs at $8.20. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Matamata on February 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4.5 len behind Apex with 129lbs at $15.40. Finds a nice race and can bounce back to his best.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).