NZ - Pukekohe - Race 10

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FREE BIRD (10) won her maiden at Ruakaka last June, and then ran some good races on heavy tracks. She was spotted making up a lot of ground late at Matamata 3 weeks ago when fresh, and the step up from 6f to 7f is the ideal next step. Hard to beat. FLEETING GLIMPSE (5) dropped down into BM60 company here last time out and scored by a head. That win would have been a nice confidence booster, and she can repeat the dose. PLAY IT AGAIN SAM (1) ran on late for third fresh up here 5 weeks ago, and he will start from a superior gate this time. With the space between runs, he should not be bothered by the drop back to 7f. A heavy track is no problem, and he is good enough to take this out. BERENHARD (3) is another who was down in class last time out, and proved to be far too strong at Te Aroha nearly 4 weeks ago, scoring by nearly 2 lengths. He is capable of another big run on his home track.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Second run back. First-up after six months 6th of 11 at Matamata on March 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Midori Glory carrying 125lbs at $13.10. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Ruakaka on August 2 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Arabella carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 1st Pick 10 Free Bird Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: David Greene J: Michael Mcnab T: David Greene	87	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 6th of 11 at Matamata on March 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Midori Glory carrying 125lbs at $13.10. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Ruakaka on August 2 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Arabella carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
5	At the latest run came from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track March 13 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stage Three with 126lbs at $4.10. The race before that 8th of 10 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Imperial Empress carrying 123lbs at $9. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 5 Fleeting Glimpse Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Barbara Kennedy J: Elen Nicholas T: Barbara Kennedy	152	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track March 13 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stage Three with 126lbs at $4.10. The race before that 8th of 10 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Imperial Empress carrying 123lbs at $9. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
1	Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 9 at this track on February 25 over 7 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Volunteer carrying 129lbs at $13. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at Ruakaka on September 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Dancing Dream with 130lbs at $4.60. A bold showing is likely. 3rd Pick 1 Play It Again Sam Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Barbara Kennedy J: Warren Kennedy T: Barbara Kennedy	140	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 9 at this track on February 25 over 7 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Volunteer carrying 129lbs at $13. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at Ruakaka on September 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Dancing Dream with 130lbs at $4.60. A bold showing is likely.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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