NZH - Phar Lap Raceway - Race 4

Harness

14 Runners

12.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

7.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

TEE BALL (5) has made a good start to his career and that continued last start when he finished second, beaten by less than a length at Addington over 1 ³/16m. He is ready to go one better here. DEAL BREAKER (1) has had two runs this campaign and has yet to finish in the top three. He was a game fifth last time out over 1 ¼m at Rangiora and a nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run here. Each way. ULTIMATUM (10) disappointed last time when seventh over 1 ³/16m at Addington. He is good enough to bounce back. ALWAYS B MINDFUL (7) faces the starter for the first time. By Always B Miki and hails from the K L Williams stable. He won a trial, and despite the tough gate, she has top 4 claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 0.8 m by Bettor Dreams (2:26.90) in 3yo+ on May 8 at $3.50. Big winning chance. 1st Pick 5 Tee Ball Jockey: Robbie Close Trainer: Anne-Marie & Jack Best J: Robbie Close T: Anne-Marie & Jack Best	77	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 0.8 m by Bettor Dreams (2:26.90) in 3yo+ on May 8 at $3.50. Big winning chance.
1	Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 14 m by Cherish Me (2:24.50) on May 17 at $55.10. Before that, 4th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 19 m by Cherish Me (2:24.90) in 3yo+ on May 3 at $10.90. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run. 2nd Pick 1 Deal Breaker Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Stephen Boyd J: Blair Orange T: Stephen Boyd	75	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 14 m by Cherish Me (2:24.50) on May 17 at $55.10. Before that, 4th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 19 m by Cherish Me (2:24.90) in 3yo+ on May 3 at $10.90. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run.
10	Last start 7th (FrU1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 15 m by Enoka (2:30.80) on May 13 at $3.80. Before that, 4th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Phar Lap Racecourse beaten 6 m by Blastfromthepast (2:48.80) in 4yo+ on April 1 at $2. Rates highly and expected to bounce back. 3rd Pick 10 Ultimatum Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matt Purvis J: Non Runner T: Matt Purvis	74	-	-	-	17%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 7th (FrU1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 15 m by Enoka (2:30.80) on May 13 at $3.80. Before that, 4th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Phar Lap Racecourse beaten 6 m by Blastfromthepast (2:48.80) in 4yo+ on April 1 at $2. Rates highly and expected to bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.