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2:57 AM

NZ - Otaki - Race 7

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 6
29.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BRIDAL TRAIN (4) won fresh up at New Plymouth, and then motored home too late when finishing fourth here nearly 4 weeks ago. The step up to a mile for her peak run, and with 4lbs less to carry, she is the one to beat in a small sized field. HARD TOO THINK (7) is a durable veteran who franked some good trial form with a bold effort for second fresh up at Tauherenikau 16 days ago. He drops 8lbs, and also gets Bruni Queiroz in the saddle this time. Stick with him on an each-way basis. HE'S A DOOZY (1) is a very consistent veteran gelding when fit, and he was only narrowly beaten by a head here last time out on this track. This is his pet trip, and he is nearing another win. ELECTRON (2) has been mixing her form, but is unbeaten on this track in 3 starts, including her penultimate start over a mile. She drops back from G2 company, and she will be hard to hold out. RUSTY LANE (3) ran on late for fourth fresh up at Trentham, and he usually improves with more racing. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Bridal Train silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by a head at New Plymouth Raceway November 5 over 7f defeating Super Wraith with 123lbs at $5.50. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 3 len behind Renovations carrying 123lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Strong formlines for this type of race, the testing material.

1st Pick
4

Bridal Train

Jockey: Kelly Myers

Trainer: Allan Sharrock

J: Kelly Myers

T: Allan Sharrock

85---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by a head at New Plymouth Raceway November 5 over 7f defeating Super Wraith with 123lbs at $5.50. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 3 len behind Renovations carrying 123lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Strong formlines for this type of race, the testing material.

7
Hard Too Think silk

Second-up. First-up after 11 months raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Psyclone carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Trentham on January 18 over 1m, 3 len behind Khanshe with 127lbs at $34.90. Further improvement in store.

2nd Pick
7

Hard Too Think

Jockey: Bruno Queiroz

Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge

J: Bruno Queiroz

T: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge

129---20%4/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after 11 months raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Psyclone carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Trentham on January 18 over 1m, 3 len behind Khanshe with 127lbs at $34.90. Further improvement in store.

1
He's A Doozy silk

Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on November 30 over 1m, neck behind Electron with 126lbs at $12.70. The run before that struggled in the run home, second last of 13 at Riccarton Park in the G3 Churchill (Coupland's Mile) Stakes on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mystic Park carrying 123lbs at $28.50. Impressed last start. Worth including.

3rd Pick
1

He's A Doozy

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Lisa Latta

J: Amber Riddell

T: Lisa Latta

127---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on November 30 over 1m, neck behind Electron with 126lbs at $12.70. The run before that struggled in the run home, second last of 13 at Riccarton Park in the G3 Churchill (Coupland's Mile) Stakes on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mystic Park carrying 123lbs at $28.50. Impressed last start. Worth including.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.