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5:30 AM

AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SEBASTIAN'S FLYER (10) starting to hit his straps and will appreciate the drop in trip. Sat on the good tempo from the wide gate when a courageous third over 1 ¼m at Queanbeyan in this grade. Jess Taylor goes back on and sure to be thereabouts. BREAKAWAY WEEK (5) returned in good order and strips fitter third up. Proven at the trip and doesn't have to improve much after catching the eye late when fourth over 6 ½f at Canberra. Martin's claim keeps her in the mix and will be strong late. MIDNIGHT AFFAIR (6) not that far away at her second run back when eighth over 7f at Gundagai. Can race a little closer here and did run a respectable race in Highway grade last prep. Each way. KEN'KER (3) can play a role again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Flashy Icon silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Nowra Bm58 on October 19 over 7f, 0.5 len behind You're On Mute with 132lbs at $8. Last start 3rd in a small field at Nowra Cl2 Bm62 on November 17 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Caravanserai with 129lbs at $2.80. Consistent gelding fitter after two runs back.

1st Pick
2

Flashy Icon

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Rob Potter

J: Non Runner

T: Rob Potter

111---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Nowra Bm58 on October 19 over 7f, 0.5 len behind You're On Mute with 132lbs at $8. Last start 3rd in a small field at Nowra Cl2 Bm62 on November 17 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Caravanserai with 129lbs at $2.80. Consistent gelding fitter after two runs back.

10
Sebastian's Flyer silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Queanbeyan Bm58 on November 11 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Pretty Please carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Bm58 on October 30 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sweet Treats with 125lbs at $4.40. Rates highly and has his hoof on the till.

2nd Pick
10

Sebastian's Flyer

Jockey: Jess Taylor

Trainer: Theresa Bateup

J: Jess Taylor

T: Theresa Bateup

77---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Queanbeyan Bm58 on November 11 over 1 ¼m, 1.5 len behind Pretty Please carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Bm58 on October 30 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Sweet Treats with 125lbs at $4.40. Rates highly and has his hoof on the till.

5
Breakaway Week silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at Goulburn Bm50 November 8 over 6 ½f defeating Fancy Garter with 131lbs at $6. Last start 4th of 10 at Canberra Tab Fed Bm60 on November 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stormbringer carrying 123lbs at $41. Back in class and expected to measure up.

3rd Pick
5

Breakaway Week

Jockey: Teaghan Martin

Trainer: Garry Kirkup

J: Teaghan Martin

T: Garry Kirkup

102---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at Goulburn Bm50 November 8 over 6 ½f defeating Fancy Garter with 131lbs at $6. Last start 4th of 10 at Canberra Tab Fed Bm60 on November 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Stormbringer carrying 123lbs at $41. Back in class and expected to measure up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.