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5:05 AM

AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
21.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STAR BLING (3) has a good record here but plagued by wide gates of late. Closed strongly for a narrow third over 1m here in the soft (7) going. Key jockey change and expected to go close. TIMELESS GRACE (8) was in the money two starts back at Wagga, then drifted back and failed to close off when sixth over 1m at Canberra. Further improved with that run under the belt and expecting more today. STAR EMPIRE (4) went under narrowly two-back at Wagga, then struggled in the soft (7) going with a fading sixth over 7f at this track. Proven at the trip and no shock to see him push forward from the awkward barrier. FIRE AND GEMSTONE (2) holding his form over this distance and doesn't have to improve much to win this. Sent to the front with a gritty second over 1m at this track. One of the main hopes with Brookes' claim again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Star Bling silk

Most recently 3rd of 8 at this track Ctry Bm58 on March 30 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Gwennybegg with 131lbs at $3.10. The race before that 6th of 12 at Albury Bm58 on March 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Brazil with 132lbs at $8. Deep into the prep and can overcome the sticky gate.

1st Pick
3

Star Bling

Jockey: Billy Owen

Trainer: Nick Olive

J: Billy Owen

T: Nick Olive

161---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently 3rd of 8 at this track Ctry Bm58 on March 30 over 1m, slow going 1.1 len behind Gwennybegg with 131lbs at $3.10. The race before that 6th of 12 at Albury Bm58 on March 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Brazil with 132lbs at $8. Deep into the prep and can overcome the sticky gate.

7
Exceed Success silk

Most recently came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track Cl1-Sw March 30 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating I Doubt It carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Classic Touch carrying 130lbs at $5.50. In winning form but harder here and others rate better.

2nd Pick
7

Exceed Success

Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain

Trainer: Jamie Stewart

J: Pierre Boudvillain

T: Jamie Stewart

79---12%15/2

Analysis

Most recently came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track Cl1-Sw March 30 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating I Doubt It carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Before that 4th of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Classic Touch carrying 130lbs at $5.50. In winning form but harder here and others rate better.

8
Timeless Grace silk

Most recently 6th of 9 at Canberra Cl1-Sw on March 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cabbucio with 122lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 12 at Wagga Bm58 on March 12 over 7f, head behind Spread The Love with 123lbs at $14. Hard to beat on this easier contest.

3rd Pick
8

Timeless Grace

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Luke Pepper

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Luke Pepper

158---16%11/2

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 9 at Canberra Cl1-Sw on March 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cabbucio with 122lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 12 at Wagga Bm58 on March 12 over 7f, head behind Spread The Love with 123lbs at $14. Hard to beat on this easier contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.