AU - Pinjarra Scarpside - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

9.9f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG KAY DOG (11) has led at her past couple, finishing 2.3L away most recently at Belmont. She remains right down in the weights today and is coming off a career best figure at her first time out in trip. Should be better for that effort and Faithfull replacing the apprentice is a big push for her chances. VEXATIOUS ROSE (7) is knocking on the door of a maiden victory, missing out in a photo finish at Bunbury last time out. She steps out to this trip for the first time and that looks a good move on what we saw last start. The form out of that race has worked out well and she looks well placed to knock over her maiden. REBELNADO (3) was off a short break last start when remaining at 1 m at Bunbury last start. He steps out to 1 ¼m for the first time second-up off that break, though Chris Parnham suggests this is a target. MACHO ARQUERO (2) is racing in top order and has to be included. SAFARI BOY (4) is not out of this if he can bring his best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 at Belmont Park Mdn on November 19 over 1 5/16m, 2.25 len behind Fulmine carrying 112lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 10 at Ascot Mdn on November 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Masmelo carrying 112lbs at $41. Better for her latest effort and she looks beautifully placed. 1st Pick 11 Big Kay Dog Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Misty Bazeley J: Natasha Faithfull T: Misty Bazeley	106	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 12 at Belmont Park Mdn on November 19 over 1 5/16m, 2.25 len behind Fulmine carrying 112lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 10 at Ascot Mdn on November 4 over 1m, 5 len behind Masmelo carrying 112lbs at $41. Better for her latest effort and she looks beautifully placed.
7	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, nose behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that 4th of 10 at Northam Cl1 on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Battle Commander carrying 126lbs at $4. Right in the finish lately and out to this trip looks ideal now. 2nd Pick 7 Vexatious Rose Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Jeremy Easthope J: Brad Parnham T: Jeremy Easthope	148	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, nose behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that 4th of 10 at Northam Cl1 on October 26 over 1m, 3 len behind Battle Commander carrying 126lbs at $4. Right in the finish lately and out to this trip looks ideal now.
3	Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, 4 len behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up 5th of 16 at Northam Mdn on June 26 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Naughty Tortie with 128lbs at $4.80. He's a query at the trip second-up, but he ticks plenty of boxes away from that. 3rd Pick 3 Rebelnado Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe J: Chris Parnham T: Darren Mcauliffe	128	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, 4 len behind Herault carrying 123lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up 5th of 16 at Northam Mdn on June 26 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Naughty Tortie with 128lbs at $4.80. He's a query at the trip second-up, but he ticks plenty of boxes away from that.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.