Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 12

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Turf

228.8K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

ARRONDI (17) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 1 ½m at Hanshin, beaten 4.5 lengths. Has never missed the frame second up. Atsuya Nishimura gets the best out of this four-year-old entire. Fitter and sure to run well. RI THIR CHONAILL (9) was a strong winner last time over 1 ¼m at this track, scoring by 1.75 lengths and making it back to back wins. Steps out further in journey. Tough to beat on recent form. WIN ODIN (15) failed to threaten when fresh from a spell last time out, beaten 6 lengths into 11th over 1 ¼m at Tokyo. Has a decent record at this trip with three minor placings from four tries and has to be respected. SHONAN SOMEDAY (3) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 1 ?/16m at this track, beaten 5 lengths. Strips fitter and can figure in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
17	Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 11 at Hanshin on March 29 over 1 ½m, 4.5 len behind Gamble Room with 126lbs at $8.10. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at Hanshin September 27 over 1m defeating Domane with 121lbs at $4.90. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance. 1st Pick 17 Arrondi Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura Trainer: Hidenori Take J: Atsuya Nishimura T: Hidenori Take	123	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 11 at Hanshin on March 29 over 1 ½m, 4.5 len behind Gamble Room with 126lbs at $8.10. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at Hanshin September 27 over 1m defeating Domane with 121lbs at $4.90. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.
9	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.75 len at this track March 28 over 1 ¼m defeating Meiner Fuga with 128lbs at $7.70. The race before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Kokura February 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Shin Dream Shin with 126lbs at $4.30. Plenty to like about his prospects. 2nd Pick 9 Ri Thir Chonaill Jockey: Ryoya Kozaki Trainer: Kazuya Takahashi J: Ryoya Kozaki T: Kazuya Takahashi	105	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run won by 1.75 len at this track March 28 over 1 ¼m defeating Meiner Fuga with 128lbs at $7.70. The race before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Kokura February 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Shin Dream Shin with 126lbs at $4.30. Plenty to like about his prospects.
15	Second-up. Comes off a 56-day let-up. First-up after three months 11th of 14 at Tokyo on February 22 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Sakura Farrel with 126lbs at $12.60. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Niigata on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Simhanada with 128lbs at $5.60. Among the top chances. 3rd Pick 15 Win Odin Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Y Shikato J: Damian Lane T: Y Shikato	123	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 56-day let-up. First-up after three months 11th of 14 at Tokyo on February 22 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Sakura Farrel with 126lbs at $12.60. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Niigata on October 25 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Simhanada with 128lbs at $5.60. Among the top chances.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.