Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Maiden

Dirt

71.5K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

GINKEI (4) wound up strongly but just failed to pick up the winner as favourite last start over 1 ?m at this track. Should be near her peak for this. Has started two times at this course and distance and is yet to miss the placings. Hard to beat in this suitable race. MARGOT GAIA (11) returned from a spell four weeks ago when she was prominent at the turn before being beaten 5 lengths into tenth over 1 ¼m at Chukyo. Fitter so expect a better run this time. FINISTERRE (8) faced the starter for the first time and finished eighth last start at Hanshin over 1 ?m, beaten 7 lengths. Worth following up. STORY OF LOVE (1) is a three-start maiden who is well and truly overdue, finishing fourth at this track over 1 ?m last time out after being prominent at the corner. Likely improver with strong prospects.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 16 at this track on April 5 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Kitano Epique Un with 121lbs at $2.20. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 16 at this track on March 15 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Star San Salud with 121lbs at $8.10. Made headway last time. Top chance. 1st Pick 4 Ginkei Jockey: Kiwamu Ogino Trainer: Tadashige Nakagawa J: Kiwamu Ogino T: Tadashige Nakagawa	174	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 16 at this track on April 5 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Kitano Epique Un with 121lbs at $2.20. Before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 16 at this track on March 15 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Star San Salud with 121lbs at $8.10. Made headway last time. Top chance.
11	Racing second-up today. Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 18 at Chukyo on March 21 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Lay Classic with 121lbs at $12.60. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at Chukyo on December 14 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Graines De Joie with 121lbs at $14.50. Fitter and much better draw. Strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 11 Margot Gaia Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura Trainer: Koichi Ishizaka J: Atsuya Nishimura T: Koichi Ishizaka	136	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 18 at Chukyo on March 21 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Lay Classic with 121lbs at $12.60. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at Chukyo on December 14 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Graines De Joie with 121lbs at $14.50. Fitter and much better draw. Strong winning chance.
8	At debut, 8th of 18 at Hanshin on April 4 over 1m, 7 len behind L'avenir with 121lbs at $20.50. Open to plenty of improvement. 3rd Pick 8 Finisterre Jockey: Mirai Iwata Trainer: Yasuyuki Tsujino J: Mirai Iwata T: Yasuyuki Tsujino	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At debut, 8th of 18 at Hanshin on April 4 over 1m, 7 len behind L'avenir with 121lbs at $20.50. Open to plenty of improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.