NZ - Avondale - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

AVANTAGGIA (8) is a beautifully bred filly who resumed with a tough run for third as the favourite 4 weeks ago at Matamata. She cops a tough gate, but will continue to get better with racing, and with Opie Bosson keeping the ride, she is the one to beat. Follow your money. TO THE MAX (3) is a lightly tried 3YO gelding with plenty of talent. He resumes without a public trial, but from his good gate, he can't be taken lightly. Check the market moves. GENERAL MENARI (2) has been freshened up since a pair of third-place finishes earlier in the season. He likes some cut in the ground, and he has sound each-way claims again. HOT CARD (7) resumes from a spell that would have done her the world of good. She has not been to the trials, but her stable will have her ready to rumble. RED PEARL (10) is another promising type resuming from a spell. She cops a wide gate, but will have Michael McNab up to help offset that draw. Include in all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 at Matamata on March 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Midori Glory carrying 126lbs at $2. Previously second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha October 22 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Confesara carrying 122lbs at $1.90. Fitter and is a leading contender. 1st Pick 8 Avantaggia Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	165	-	-	-	29%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 11 at Matamata on March 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Midori Glory carrying 126lbs at $2. Previously second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha October 22 over 5 ¾f on a soft track defeating Confesara carrying 122lbs at $1.90. Fitter and is a leading contender.
3	Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Ellerslie in the LR Trevor Eagle Memorial November 29 over 7 ½f, soft track, 5 len behind Pulsatilla carrying 126lbs at $5.40. On debut fourth of 9 at Te Aroha October 22 over 5 ¾f, soft track, 3 len behind Avantaggia with 125lbs at $9.60. Has ability and worth following. 2nd Pick 3 To The Max Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Non Runner T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	133	-	-	-	12%	Scratched
Analysis Resuming after a four-and-a-half months break. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Ellerslie in the LR Trevor Eagle Memorial November 29 over 7 ½f, soft track, 5 len behind Pulsatilla carrying 126lbs at $5.40. On debut fourth of 9 at Te Aroha October 22 over 5 ¾f, soft track, 3 len behind Avantaggia with 125lbs at $9.60. Has ability and worth following.
2	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 53 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 7 at Matamata on February 14 over 6f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Scolera carrying 130lbs at $4.60. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Tale Of The Gypsy with 128lbs at $2.80. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 2 General Menari Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Non Runner T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	105	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 53 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 7 at Matamata on February 14 over 6f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Scolera carrying 130lbs at $4.60. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Tale Of The Gypsy with 128lbs at $2.80. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.