NZ - Ashburton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 8

14.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LA BELLA NERA (1) has been super consistent for ages. Proven on dry and wet ground. Big chance in this field for certain. BELLUCCI (4) has run top three in six of seven runs this time in. Quinella and trifecta must here. SPOT ON TIME (2) was a trial second last month so is very forward to resume. Has never missed the top three on the track. Must include him on dry and wet ground. SOUTH OF HOUSTON (5) was an impressive winner at her last start. The 2lbs more is not a real issue for the same class here. Poor draw in this but can cope. EPEE BEEL (3) is a class dropper here. Good course record and cannot be excluded.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Most recently 3rd of 9 at Ascot Park on February 15 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind The Good Shepherd with 120lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Riccarton Park on February 5 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind South Of Houston carrying 123lbs at $11.30. Super consistent. Proven on dry and wet ground. Big chance in this. 1st Pick 1 La Bella Nera Jockey: Ayush Mudhoo Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Ayush Mudhoo T: John & Karen Parsons	136	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 9 at Ascot Park on February 15 over 6f, slow going 0.5 len behind The Good Shepherd with 120lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Riccarton Park on February 5 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind South Of Houston carrying 123lbs at $11.30. Super consistent. Proven on dry and wet ground. Big chance in this.
4	Most recently 2nd of 12 at Wingatui on March 1 over 6f, head behind Tikki with 119lbs at $13.70. Before that 3rd of 8 at Riccarton Park on February 5 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind South Of Houston with 125lbs at $5.90. Has run top three in six of seven runs this time in. Quinella and trifecta must. 2nd Pick 4 Bellucci Jockey: Kylie Williams Trainer: Lyn Prendergast J: Kylie Williams T: Lyn Prendergast	132	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 12 at Wingatui on March 1 over 6f, head behind Tikki with 119lbs at $13.70. Before that 3rd of 8 at Riccarton Park on February 5 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind South Of Houston with 125lbs at $5.90. Has run top three in six of seven runs this time in. Quinella and trifecta must.
2	Finished off last preparation to post a big 4 len win. Riccarton Park November 16 over 7f slow track defeating Epee Beel carrying 119lbs at $1.80. First up last campaign third of 13 at Riccarton Park September 14 over 7f, soft track, a long neck behind Iffididit carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Trial second last month. Has never missed the top three on the track. Must include on dry and wet ground. 3rd Pick 2 Spot On Time Jockey: Nicola Yuen Trainer: Terri Rae J: Nicola Yuen T: Terri Rae	88	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Finished off last preparation to post a big 4 len win. Riccarton Park November 16 over 7f slow track defeating Epee Beel carrying 119lbs at $1.80. First up last campaign third of 13 at Riccarton Park September 14 over 7f, soft track, a long neck behind Iffididit carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Trial second last month. Has never missed the top three on the track. Must include on dry and wet ground.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.