NZ - Ashburton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

14.8K

VIEW

Verdict

INSATIABLE (4) won at Riccarton in his penultimate start when racing just off the pace in a nice rhythm, and then did not appreciate forcing the pace in a tougher field at Wingatui 12 days ago. He is much better placed in this field, and with a kg less to carry, he is good enough to bounce back and win a race like this. TEXAS DOLLY (6) will find this assignment much easier than her last couple of starts, and she can secure the run of the race from the pole position. If the fence is playing fair, then a form reversal is on the cards. MISS MIRANDA (5) fought on gamely to be narrowly beaten into fourth place when resuming at Ascot Park nearly 4 weeks ago. She will strip fitter, and is good enough to figure in the top 3 here. GEMMA FLITZ (2) is getting ready for the poly track season at Riccarton, but that is not to say she can't be competitive on the turf tracks. She trialled up nicely here since her fresh effort, and is worth including. MISS BRITTANY (8) can't be ruled out. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Most recently raced on the pace before fading 11th of 13 at Wingatui on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Trobriand with 129lbs at $5.70. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a 0.2 len at Riccarton Park February 4 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Spartan carrying 120lbs at $2. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 4 Insatiable Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Bruno Queiroz T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	127	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Most recently raced on the pace before fading 11th of 13 at Wingatui on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Trobriand with 129lbs at $5.70. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a 0.2 len at Riccarton Park February 4 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Spartan carrying 120lbs at $2. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance.
6	Most recently ran last of 13 at Wingatui on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Trobriand carrying 122lbs at $10.10. Before that 12th of 14 at Riccarton Park in the LR Timaru Stakes on January 24 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Pour The Wine carrying 117lbs at $6.70. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 6 Texas Dolly Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Terri Rae J: Triston Moodley T: Terri Rae	114	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently ran last of 13 at Wingatui on February 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Trobriand carrying 122lbs at $10.10. Before that 12th of 14 at Riccarton Park in the LR Timaru Stakes on January 24 over 6f, on a wet track, 9 len behind Pour The Wine carrying 117lbs at $6.70. Prepared to overlook that last run, expecting sharp improvement.
5	Second-up today. Last run 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on February 14 over 6f, slow going 0.2 len behind Tikki carrying 120lbs at $2.70. At only start last preparation won by a head at Ascot Park December 13 over 6f on a soft track defeating Henry Hubber carrying 119lbs at $3.90. Will come on from that run and is one of the leading chances. 3rd Pick 5 Miss Miranda Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Len & Lacy Stewart J: Kendra Bakker T: Len & Lacy Stewart	75	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second-up today. Last run 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on February 14 over 6f, slow going 0.2 len behind Tikki carrying 120lbs at $2.70. At only start last preparation won by a head at Ascot Park December 13 over 6f on a soft track defeating Henry Hubber carrying 119lbs at $3.90. Will come on from that run and is one of the leading chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.