NZ - Ashburton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

10.9K

VIEW

Verdict

CANTERBURY FLIGHT (1) has gone close to cracking her maiden win in her last couple of starts at Riccarton on a pair of heavy tracks over a mile. The blinkers go on for the first time, and that may be just what she needs to go one better. OFFLINE (2) has raced her way into form and battled on strongly when finishing runner-up over 6f at Riccarton just over 3 weeks ago. She is back out to a mile, and as long as the track is wet, she can figure in the top 3 again. CONTEST (4) is still building up her fitness levels and fought on well enough to finish third at Riccarton 8 days ago. She is meeting a modest field here and should be included in all top 4 combos. RED STAR RHONDA (12) has been a touch plain in her last couple of starts, and could be suited to her wide gate here if the track is wet. She ran a couple of sound races earlier in her prep and is worth including in this. ANDINA (11) was not far away in her initial prep, and she has won a trial since her last start in the spring.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.2 len behind Shameful with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.2 len behind Warrior Of War with 125lbs at $5.60. Shapes as a key runner. 1st Pick 1 Canterbury Flight Jockey: Yogesh Atchamah Trainer: Ross Beckett J: Yogesh Atchamah T: Ross Beckett	92	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.2 len behind Shameful with 125lbs at $2.60. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 1m, on rain affected going, 0.2 len behind Warrior Of War with 125lbs at $5.60. Shapes as a key runner.
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Last Hello carrying 122lbs at $13.50. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on January 22 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Solar Saint with 122lbs at $3.70. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 2 Offline Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Bruce Tapper J: Kendra Bakker T: Bruce Tapper	97	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on February 18 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.6 len behind Last Hello carrying 122lbs at $13.50. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Ascot Park on January 22 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Solar Saint with 122lbs at $3.70. Will take plenty of beating.
4	At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Shameful carrying 125lbs at $5.30. The race before that 6th of 9 at Wingatui on January 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Jail Bird with 125lbs at $4.60. Made headway last time. Ready to open her account this time. 3rd Pick 4 Contest Jockey: Corey Campbell Trainer: Anna Furlong J: Corey Campbell T: Anna Furlong	95	-	-	-	13%
Analysis At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Riccarton Park on March 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Shameful carrying 125lbs at $5.30. The race before that 6th of 9 at Wingatui on January 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Jail Bird with 125lbs at $4.60. Made headway last time. Ready to open her account this time.

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